In a detailed breakdown of the Jack Maddalena vs Carlos Prates matchup, the analysis suggests Prates is the favorite despite Maddalena's pressure-fighting style historically causing problems for the Brazilian. While Maddalena's approach of moving forward could theoretically work against Prates, the Australian lacks the kicking game and footwork that Ian Machado Garry used effectively to control distance. Prates remains dangerous throughout the entire fight, as evidenced by his near-knockout of Garry in the fifth round after losing the first four. The breakdown notes that Maddalena's boxing defense, which relies on blocks and slips rather than movement, could be problematic against Prates' power. For Maddalena to win, he would need to pressure Prates for 25 minutes while maintaining perfect defensive discipline, which the analyst considers unlikely given that even Belal Muhammad landed clean strikes on him.
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