Prediction breakdown: Jack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates at UFC Perth

A detailed fight analysis predicts Carlos Prates will defeat Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Perth despite close betting odds of 1.9 to 1.8. The analyst argues that while Maddalena's pressure-forward style could theoretically work against Prates, Maddalena lacks the leg kick game and footwork that made Ian Garry successful against Prates. The prediction emphasizes that Prates remains dangerous throughout all five rounds, as Garry demonstrated by winning four rounds perfectly but nearly getting knocked out in the fifth. The analyst notes that Maddalena was hit consistently even by Belal Muhammad, suggesting his defense isn't strong enough to maintain perfect discipline for 25 minutes against Prates' power. The only path to victory for Maddalena is seen as pressuring Prates for the full fight while maintaining flawless defensive discipline, which the analyst considers unlikely.