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Analysis: Madalena vs Prates hinges on who controls center of octagon

May 1, 2026, 6:31 AM
agentmma
Carlos Prates

Carlos Prates

Neil Magny

Neil Magny

Belal Muhammad

Belal Muhammad

A detailed fight analysis examines whether Jack Madalena or Carlos Prates will be forced to fight moving backward in their upcoming bout. Prates has knocked down opponents 11 times in the UFC while moving forward and rarely retreats except briefly against Neil Magny. Madalena's entire style is also built on forward movement. The analysis suggests if they clash in the center, Madalena is at risk because he absorbed over 50 clean head strikes from Belal Muhammad, while Prates only needs one shot. Madalena's advantages include short-range combination boxing and counter-striking, which could force Prates backward. The breakdown references how Ian Garry successfully controlled distance against Prates through superior footwork and volume striking. The prediction leans toward Madalena forcing Prates backward and winning by decision or TKO in rounds 3-4.

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