An analysis of the upcoming Jack Maddalena vs Carlos Prates fight suggests Prates holds the advantage despite Maddalena's pressure-based style. While Maddalena could theoretically control Prates by pressing forward like Ian Garry did, he lacks Garry's kicks and footwork necessary for distance control. Maddalena will have to rely on boxing to manage distance, which creates risk of getting caught by Prates' counters. Even if Maddalena wins the first few rounds, Prates remains dangerous until the final seconds, as demonstrated when he nearly finished Garry despite losing four rounds. The analyst believes Maddalena's only path to victory is pressuring Prates for 25 minutes while maintaining perfect defensive discipline, which seems unlikely given that even Belal Muhammad landed cleanly on him. The prediction favors Prates to win.
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