A statistical analysis shows Joaquin Buckley has a 4-5 record in UFC fights where he did not land a single takedown. His four wins without takedowns came against Colby Covington, Vicente Luque, Albert Duraev, and Jordan Wright, with all victories being finishes. Conversely, Buckley has lost every UFC fight in which he failed to secure a takedown. The post questions whether Buckley will successfully take down his upcoming opponent Sean Brady at least once this weekend. The statistical pattern suggests Buckley's wrestling success may be a key factor in his performance outcomes.
A statistical breakdown of Joaquin Buckley's UFC career reveals a striking pattern heading into his welterweight bout against Sean Brady: when Buckley fails to land a takedown, he goes 4-5, with all four wins in that split coming by finish.
Those four victories without a takedown came against Colby Covington, Vicente Luque, Albert Duraev, and Jordan Wright. The flip side is equally telling — Buckley has lost every single UFC fight in which he did not successfully secure at least one takedown. The data points to wrestling as a quiet but critical thread running through his performances.
Brady, ranked seventh in the welterweight division, carries a 19-2 record into the fight and trains out of Renzo Gracie Philly. The 33-year-old American is a well-rounded threat, averaging 3.53 takedowns per 15 minutes and landing significant strikes at a 55 percent accuracy clip — the highest of any fighter in this matchup's data set. His grappling-heavy style makes denying Buckley takedowns a realistic outcome, though Brady is equally capable of imposing his own wrestling.
Among Buckley's notable finishes without a takedown, his win over Vicente Luque stands out. Luque, 34, holds a 24-12-1 record and is one of the division's most dangerous strikers, averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute. That Buckley put him away without a takedown underlines his finishing power in the right circumstances.
Why it matters
- Buckley's 4-5 record in no-takedown fights means the difference between his best and worst nights often runs through the wrestling exchanges
- Brady averages 3.53 takedowns per 15 minutes, suggesting he will actively contest and potentially prevent Buckley from establishing his own grappling
- A style clash between Buckley's finishing instincts and Brady's pressure-heavy grappling game makes takedown efficiency a central variable this weekend
