A statistical breakdown shows Joaquin Buckley's UFC record is 4-5 in fights where he failed to complete a single takedown. Without any successful wrestling, he managed to defeat Colby Covington, Vicente Luque, Albert Duraev, and Jordan Wright, all by stoppage. Notably, in every fight that Buckley has lost in the UFC, he also failed to secure any takedowns. This pattern highlights an interesting correlation between his wrestling success and overall fight outcomes. The post questions whether Buckley will be able to complete at least one takedown against Sean Brady in their upcoming weekend bout.
Numbers don't lie, and a fresh statistical breakdown of Joaquin Buckley's UFC career reveals a striking pattern heading into his welterweight bout against Sean Brady this weekend: when Buckley fails to complete a single takedown, he goes 4-5.
That 4-5 mark in takedown-less fights cuts both ways. On the winning side, Buckley stopped Colby Covington, Vicente Luque, Albert Duraev, and Jordan Wright without needing a single successful wrestling entry — all four victories coming by stoppage. On the losing side, every defeat Buckley has suffered in the UFC has also come in a fight where he went zero-for on takedowns, making the correlation between his grappling output and his win-loss record one of the more telling splits in the division.
Brady, ranked seventh in the welterweight division, enters as one of the more well-rounded opponents Buckley has faced. The 33-year-old out of Renzo Gracie Philly carries a 19-2 record and brings a genuine two-way threat, averaging 3.53 takedowns per 15 minutes alongside a 55 percent striking accuracy rate and 3.96 significant strikes landed per minute. His ground game has long been his foundation, making Brady exactly the kind of opponent who could force Buckley into a wrestling conversation.
Why it matters
- If the pattern holds, Buckley's ability to complete even a single takedown may be a meaningful indicator of how the fight unfolds.
- Brady's takedown average of 3.53 per 15 minutes means the wrestling battle could run in both directions.
- Buckley's stoppage wins over established names like Luque — a 24-12-1 veteran averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute — show he is dangerous without any grappling success, complicating any simple read of the data.
- At welterweight, a result either way carries rankings weight, with Brady currently sitting at number seven in the division.
