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Analysis suggests Chimaev may have prepared for light heavyweight debut

Oscar Nascimento, MMA News Editor at AgentMMABy Oscar Nascimento
Updated AgentMMA.com
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According to analyst Vlad Matveev's theory, Khamzat Chimaev may have been preparing for a light heavyweight debut at 93 kg, but plans changed at the last moment. This would explain Chimaev's cardio issues, as his conditioning lasted only one round despite working with top sports science professionals. The analyst questions how Chimaev could have such limited cardio after training with elite preparation staff. The post also covers other UFC 328 results, including Joshua Van versus Tatsuro Taira being compared to Moreno-Figueiredo for younger fans, and Alexander Volkov continuing to benefit from controversial decisions. Details on the Chimaev preparation theory remain speculative.

AgentMMA.com

A theory circulating in MMA analyst circles suggests that Khamzat Chimaev may have originally been preparing to compete at light heavyweight — around 93 kilograms — before plans reportedly shifted at the last minute ahead of UFC 328 on May 9. The claim, put forward by analyst Vlad Matveev, has not been officially confirmed and should be treated as speculation.

Joshua Van
Joshua Van

Matveev's theory centers on Chimaev's cardio, which appeared to hold up for only a single round despite the fighter working alongside elite sports science professionals. The analyst argues that such a dramatic drop-off in conditioning is difficult to explain unless Chimaev had been preparing for a heavier weight class and was forced to adjust his camp late. No official statement has been issued to address the claim.

Alexander Volkov
Alexander Volkov

UFC 328 also featured a flyweight title bout that drew considerable praise. Joshua Van, the 24-year-old flyweight champion from Myanmar, put his belt on the line against Japan's Tatsuro Taira, with observers comparing the matchup to the classic Moreno-Figueiredo rivalry for a newer generation of fans. Van, who carries a 17-2 record and lands an extraordinary 8.84 significant strikes per minute at 56 percent accuracy, faced a credible challenge in Taira, who holds an 18-2 mark, attempts 3.12 takedowns per 15 minutes, and lands 60 percent of his significant strikes.

Tatsuro Taira
Tatsuro Taira

Alexander Volkov, the 37-year-old Russian heavyweight ranked number one in his division, was also in action at UFC 328. The six-foot-seven Drago, who carries a 40-11 record and an 80-inch reach, once again found himself the subject of controversy, with analysts noting he continues to benefit from close judging decisions.

Khamzat Chimaev
Khamzat Chimaev

Why it matters

  • If the light heavyweight theory is accurate, it raises serious questions about late-camp weight class changes and their effect on fighter conditioning.
  • Van versus Taira delivered the kind of high-stakes flyweight action that could elevate the division's profile.
  • Volkov's reliance on split decisions at heavyweight keeps his path to a title shot a subject of debate.
Published by AgentMMA
UFC 328

Saturday, May 9, 2026

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