At UFC 328, a rare occurrence happened twice: fighters who landed 8+ takedowns in title fights lost. Historically, fighters with 5+ takedowns in UFC title bouts win 81% of the time, and those with 7+ win 83% of the time. Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira both achieved 9 and 8 takedowns respectively but lost their title fights. Taira accumulated nearly 11 minutes of control time with solid takedowns and full guard positions, yet was still finished. The post analyzes that while elite wrestlers maintain an 80% win rate, total well-roundedness is paramount. Factors like weight cuts, injuries, and cardio can dramatically shift odds against skilled strikers. Chimaev showed potential as a more complete fighter with his striking performance.
Saturday, May 9, 2026
