UFC 328 featured a rare statistical anomaly where two title fight challengers who landed 8 or more takedowns both lost their bouts. Historically, UFC fighters who complete 5+ takedowns in title fights win 81.08% of the time, and those with 7+ takedowns win 83% of the time. Khamzat Chimaev landed 9 takedowns but lost to Sean Strickland, while Tatsuro Taira landed 8 takedowns with nearly 11 minutes of control time yet was finished by Joshua Van. The post analyzes that despite high-level wrestling providing an 80% win probability, total mixed martial arts skill remains superior, as wrestling is energy-intensive and vulnerable to weight cut issues, injuries, and other circumstances.
UFC 328
Saturday, May 9, 2026






