At UFC 328, a rare event occurred twice: fighters who secured 8 or more takedowns in title bouts both lost their fights. Historically, fighters landing 5+ takedowns in UFC title fights win 81.08% of the time, and those with 7+ takedowns win 83% of the time. Chimaev and Taira landed 9 and 8 takedowns respectively but still lost. The post analyzes that while elite wrestlers maintain 80% win probability, total well-roundedness is superior. Wrestling is highly energy-dependent and affected by factors like weight cut, injuries, and health. The analysis suggests Chimaev has potential as a more complete striker and could benefit from focusing more on striking technique rather than relying primarily on wrestling.
UFC 328
Saturday, May 9, 2026








