At UFC 328, a rare occurrence happened twice: fighters who landed 8 or more takedowns in championship bouts both lost. Historically, UFC fighters landing 5 or more takedowns in title fights win 81.08% of the time, while those landing 7+ takedowns win 83% of the time. Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira landed 9 and 8 takedowns respectively but still lost their fights. Taira had particularly effective takedowns with full mat control totaling nearly 11 minutes. The analysis suggests this demonstrates that while elite wrestling provides an 80% win probability, total universalism in skillset remains superior, especially as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on weight cutting, health, and other circumstances.
UFC 328
Saturday, May 9, 2026







