At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who completed 8 or more takedowns in title fights still lost their bouts. Historically, UFC fighters completing 5 or more takedowns in title fights win 81.08% of the time, and those with 7+ takedowns win 83% of the time. However, both Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira completed 9 and 8 takedowns respectively but lost their fights. The post analyzes that while elite wrestlers maintain 80% win probability, total versatility and well-rounded skills remain superior, as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on health conditions. The author suggests Chimaev should develop his striking arsenal more comprehensively to become more unpredictable and energy-efficient.
Saturday, May 9, 2026







