UFC 328 saw rare double occurrence of fighters losing despite 8+ takedowns

At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who completed 8 or more takedowns in title fights still lost their bouts. Historically, UFC fighters who land 5 or more takedowns in title fights win 81.08 percent of the time, and those landing 7 or more win 83 percent of the time. Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira completed 9 and 8 takedowns respectively but both lost their fights. The post analyzes that while elite-level wrestlers maintain an 80 percent win probability, total mixed martial arts skills are ultimately superior. Factors like weight cutting, injuries, and travel can dramatically shift odds against even dominant wrestlers facing skilled well-rounded strikers.