At UFC 328, a rare occurrence happened twice as fighters who executed 8 or more takedowns in title fights still lost their bouts. Historically, UFC fighters who land 5 or more takedowns in title fights win 81.08% of the time, while those with 7 or more win 83% of the time. Khamzat Chimaev landed 9 takedowns and Tatsuro Taira landed 8 takedowns with nearly 11 minutes of control time, yet both lost their respective fights. The analysis suggests this demonstrates that while elite wrestling provides an 80% win probability, total versatility in all aspects of MMA is ultimately more valuable. The post emphasizes that wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on health, weight cutting, and circumstances.
UFC 328
Saturday, May 9, 2026







