UFC 328 sees rare occurrence: fighters with 8+ takedowns lose title fights

At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who completed eight or more takedowns in championship bouts still lost their fights. Historically, UFC fighters who land five or more takedowns in title fights win 81.08 percent of the time, while those landing seven or more win 83 percent. Khamzat Chimaev landed nine takedowns and Tatsuro Taira landed eight with nearly 11 minutes of control time, yet both lost their respective bouts. The post analyzes that while elite-level wrestlers maintain approximately 80 percent win probability, total well-rounded skill remains superior, as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on weight cut, health conditions, and other variables that can dramatically shift odds against skilled striker-generalists.