At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who completed eight or more takedowns in title fights still lost their bouts. Historically, UFC fighters who land five or more takedowns in championship fights win 81.08% of the time, and those with seven or more win 83% of the time. However, both Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira managed nine and eight takedowns respectively but still lost their fights. The analysis suggests that while elite-level wrestlers maintain approximately 80% win probability, total universalism in fighting skills remains superior, as wrestling is energy-intensive and heavily dependent on health conditions, weight management, and other circumstantial factors.
UFC 328
Saturday, May 9, 2026






