UFC 328 sees rare double occurrence: fighters lose despite 8+ takedowns

At UFC 328, a rare statistical anomaly occurred twice when fighters who completed 8 or more takedowns in title fights still lost their bouts. Historically in UFC title fights, fighters who land 5 or more takedowns win 81.08% of the time, while those landing 7 or more win 83% of the time. Both Khamzat Chimaev and Tatsuro Taira defied these odds, with Chimaev landing 9 takedowns and Taira landing 8, yet both lost their respective championship fights. The post notes that Taira had nearly 11 minutes of control time with solid takedowns but was still defeated and finished by his opponent. This highlights that while elite-level wrestling typically provides an 80% win probability, total universalism in skill sets may be more valuable, as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on health conditions and circumstances.