UFC 328 featured a rare occurrence happening twice: fighters who landed eight or more takedowns in title fights both lost. Historically, UFC fighters landing five or more takedowns in championship bouts win 81.08% of the time, and those with seven-plus takedowns win 83% of the time. Khamzat Chimaev landed nine takedowns and Tatsuro Taira landed eight with nearly 11 minutes of control time, yet both were defeated. The analysis suggests that while elite wrestling provides an 80% win probability, total mixed martial arts universalism remains superior as wrestling is highly energy-intensive and vulnerable to weight cuts, injuries, and travel conditions. The post argues Chimaev showed potential as a more well-rounded fighter and could benefit from developing his striking game further.
Saturday, May 9, 2026







