๐ The UFC undisputed bantamweight title lineage from 2010 to today. Whoโs the greatest bantamweight champion of all time? ๐ Comment ๐ @kalshi gives Merab a 40% to become the 4th 2x champ in bantamweight history.
Merab Dvalishvili is being priced as a live candidate to reclaim the UFC bantamweight title, with the prediction market Kalshi giving him a 40 percent chance of becoming the fourth fighter in the division's history to win the belt twice.
The figure surfaced in a social media post that traced the undisputed bantamweight title lineage from 2010 to the present and asked fans to name the greatest 135-pound champion of all time. It is a market estimate, not an official matchmaking announcement, and no title fight has been announced.
Dvalishvili, 35, enters the conversation as the division's top-ranked contender and the number two fighter in the pound-for-pound rankings. The Georgian, who trains with the Serra-Longo Fight Team, holds a 21-5 record and stands five-foot-six with a 68-inch reach.
His recent form explains the interest. In his most recent recorded fight, on December 6, 2025 at UFC 323, he lost a unanimous decision to Petr Yan in a five-round title fight. That followed a successful title defense against Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision at UFC 320 on October 4, 2025, and a third-round submission of Sean O'Malley at UFC 316 in June 2025. His record therefore shows two title wins before the Yan defeat.
The numbers behind his style are striking. Dvalishvili averages 6.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, a rate that defines his pressure-heavy approach. He lands 4.33 significant strikes per minute at 42 percent accuracy, and attempts just 0.3 submissions per 15 minutes, a reminder that his offense is built on relentless wrestling and cardio rather than finishing holds.
Why it matters
- A 40 percent market price suggests traders see a realistic path back to the belt, despite the loss to Yan.
- A second reign would put Dvalishvili in rare company, as the market frames him as the potential fourth two-time bantamweight champion.
- His number one ranking in the division keeps him at the front of the title picture.
The debate over the greatest bantamweight champion is subjective, but the data gives Dvalishvili an argument. Few champions in the lineage have matched his takedown volume, and his run of title-fight appearances in 2025 shows how quickly he reached the top of the division.
