UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Melissa Mullins can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Bia Mesquita looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative.
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Melissa Mullins breakdown
Melissa Mullins's recent form
From opening bell, Melissa Mullins can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Bia Mesquita looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative. Bia Mesquita must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Bia Mesquita owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (75%) but must solve the 85% sprawl from Melissa Mullins.
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
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Bia Mesquita finish map

Bia Mesquita breakdown
Bia Mesquita's recent form
Delta de ritmo
+2.4 golpes significativos/min
Bia Mesquita tem média de 5.8 golpes significativos por minuto enquanto Melissa Mullins está em 3.4.
Confiança da IA
89%
Ponderação de probabilidade do simulador AgentMMA.
Radar de finalização
Janela de finalização de alta convicção detectada. Desbloqueie para breakdown completo.
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Melissa Mullins vs Bia Mesquita odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.