AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Chris "Taco" Padilla brings a three-fight winning streak into this lightweight clash, riding momentum from his split decision over Jai Herbert in London just two months ago. The California fighter has shown versatility—finishing James Llontop with a first-round rear naked choke, stopping Rongzhu via doctor's stoppage, then grinding out a decision against Herbert. Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim enters looking to bounce back from a tough February loss to Nazim Sadykhov, which ended via doctor's stoppage after one round. Before that setback, the Brazilian had put together impressive performances, including a flying knee knockout of Terrance McKinney in Rio and a unanimous decision over Vinc Pichel where he landed 112 strikes. The stylistic contrast makes this intriguing. ...

UFC Record Breakdown
Both have shown they can end fights early—Padilla with submissions and Bonfim with striking—so expect urgency from the opening bell.
Chris Padilla finish map

Chris Padilla breakdown
Chris "Taco" Padilla brings a three-fight winning streak into this lightweight clash, riding momentum from his split decision over Jai Herbert in London just two months ago. The California fighter has shown versatility—finishing James Llontop with a first-round rear naked choke, stopping Rongzhu via doctor's stoppage, then grinding out a decision against Herbert. Ismael "Marreta" Bonfim enters looking to bounce back from a tough February loss to Nazim Sadykhov, which ended via doctor's stoppage after one round.
Before that setback, the Brazilian had put together impressive performances, including a flying knee knockout of Terrance McKinney in Rio and a unanimous decision over Vinc Pichel where he landed 112 strikes. The stylistic contrast makes this intriguing. Padilla has proven he can win multiple ways—by submission, stoppage, or decision—while Bonfim brings explosive finishing power and high-volume striking.
Both fighters are orthodox, so this comes down to who can impose their game first. For Padilla, it's about maintaining the momentum that's carried him through nine months of success. For Bonfim, it's about proving the Sadykhov fight was just a bad night and recapturing the form that made him dangerous in 2023.
Both have shown they can end fights early—Padilla with submissions and Bonfim with striking—so expect urgency from the opening bell.

Ismael Bonfim finish map

Ismael Bonfim breakdown
Pace delta
+1.6 significant strikes/min
Ismael Bonfim averages 5.7 significant strikes per minute while Chris Padilla sits at 4.1.
AI confidence
85%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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