Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya

UFC Fight Night

Dec 5, 2026• In 48 daysRiyadh, Saudi Arabia

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Shara Magomedov

Record: 17-1-0

agentmma.com

Israel Adesanya

Record: 24-6-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Shara Magomedov

Israel Adesanya

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Shara Magomedov

Israel Adesanya

Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Shara Magomedov

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (58%)

Losses (13%)

Israel Adesanya

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (47%)

Losses (24%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy62%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense76%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Shara Magomedov

Israel Adesanya

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From opening bell, Shara Magomedov can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Israel Adesanya looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:2

Shara Magomedov

Shara Magomedov finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (58%)

Losses (13%)

Shara Magomedov breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy62%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense71%

Cardio & Endurance81%

Fight IQ90%

Shara Magomedov's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Israel Adesanya must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Israel Adesanya owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (9%) but must solve the 71% sprawl from Shara Magomedov.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (47%)

Losses (24%)

Israel Adesanya breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense76%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ75%

Israel Adesanya's recent form

Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya Stats Comparison

Age

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Height

6'2" (188 cm)

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6'4" (193 cm)

Weight

185 lbs (84 kg)

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185 lbs (84 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

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80" (203 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

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Switch

AI Division Rank

—

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Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.9 significant strikes/min

Shara Magomedov averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Israel Adesanya sits at 4.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Shara Magomedov
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	4-1-0	6-1-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (25%)	2 (33%)
KO/TKO wins	1	2
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	13:58	13:54
Total strikes landed per min	7.38	8.93
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	0.00
Control time per 15 min	0:31	0:24

Israel Adesanya
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	1-4-0	13-6-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (100%)	5 (38%)
KO/TKO wins	1	5
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	13:33	17:09
Total strikes landed per min	5.64	4.50
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.00	0.00
Control time per 15 min	0:07	0:05

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Shara Magomedov 6/7, Israel Adesanya 9/19.

Shara Magomedov and Israel Adesanya: common opponents

Shara Magomedov and Israel Adesanya have no common UFC opponents yet.

Shara Magomedov: last 5 UFC fights

WinMichel PereiraDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Jun 2026
WinMarc-Andre BarriaultDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Jul 2025
LossMichael PageDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 2025
WinArmen PetrosyanKO/TKO, R2· UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 2024
WinMichal OleksiejczukDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 2024

Israel Adesanya: last 5 UFC fights

LossJoe PyferKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 2026
LossNassourdine ImavovKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 2025
LossDricus Du PlessisSubmission, R4· UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 2024
LossSean StricklandDecision – Unanimous· UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 2023
WinAlex PereiraKO/TKO, R2· UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Apr 2023

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Shara Magomedov and Israel Adesanya, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Magomedov vs Adesanya odds

Live Polymarket odds for Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Magomedov vs Adesanya

Shara Magomedov vs Israel Adesanya is on the UFC Fight Night card on Dec 5, 2026 at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Magomedov vs Adesanya: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.