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UFC 336
Jan 30, 2027• In 108 daysToronto, Canada
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Joshua Van 8.3 SLpM, Manel Kape 4.7 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Joshua Van 57%, Manel Kape 55%
  • Damage Avoidance: Joshua Van 5.8 abs/min, Manel Kape 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Joshua Van 61%, Manel Kape 30%
  • Takedown Defense: Joshua Van 75%, Manel Kape 78%
  • Submission Threat: Joshua Van 0.3 per 15m, Manel Kape 0.2 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joshua Van
Manel Kape

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joshua Van vs Manel Kape

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joshua Van
11-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (34%)
Decision (59%)
Losses (8%)
Manel Kape
8-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (59%)
Decision (20%)
Losses (21%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%
Grappling Efficiency61%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense78%
Cardio & Endurance77%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Joshua Van
Manel Kape

This is the flyweight title fight people kept asking for, and UFC 336 puts Manel Kape opposite Joshua Van in Las Vegas. Kape arrives with four straight stoppage wins, while Van brings a belt and a recent answer to anyone still talking about how he first became champion. That's plenty of fuel before anyone starts trading punches. Remember that first win over Alexandre Pantoja, when an arm injury ended things in round 1?

Key Storylines
  • Kape brings four straight stoppages into his shot at the belt
  • Van's Pantoja rematch answered questions that the arm injury left hanging
  • Royval fought both men, but those results tell very different stories
Finishing Window

The action is most likely to open up late in round 1, when the early range checks give way to longer exchanges between Van's combinations and Kape's replies.

Van then stopped Tatsuro Taira in round 5 and took a unanimous decision over Pantoja at UFC 331, so the rematch gave this story a very different ending. Kape stopped Brandon Royval in round 1 and Kyoji Horiguchi in round 3, with Royval also having lost a unanimous decision to Van. Here's the thing: Kape is a southpaw with 68 inches of reach, facing an orthodox champion with 65 inches. Van needs to stack his simple combinations without lingering in front of a clean reply, while Kape needs room to time the champion's entries instead of letting every exchange turn into a long back and forth.

A clinch or takedown attempt could interrupt either man's rhythm, making the reset just as interesting as the punches. The belt is the prize, but the real tension is how those exchanges develop. Does Van keep them flowing, or does Kape make every step into range feel expensive?

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Joshua Van vs Manel Kape Stats Comparison

Age
25
•
32
Height
5'5" (165 cm)
•
5'5" (165 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
•
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
65" (165 cm)
•
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Joshua Van vs Manel Kape AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.6 significant strikes/min

Joshua Van averages 8.3 significant strikes per minute while Manel Kape sits at 4.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joshua Van and Manel Kape, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joshua Van vs Manel Kape.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Van vs Kape odds

Live Polymarket odds for Joshua Van vs Manel Kape are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Van vs Kape

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape is on the UFC 336 card on Jan 30, 2027 at Toronto, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Van vs Kape: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events