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UFC Record Breakdown
This is one of those fights where the styles just scream fireworks. Michel Pereira, the Brazilian showman who used to backflip his way into the cage, has been grinding through middleweight with mixed results. He's coming off a split decision win over Zach Reese back in February, but before that? Rough stretch. Anthony Hernandez stopped him with ground elbows in the fifth round back in October 2024, and Abus Magomedov outpointed him pretty clearly. Then there's that brutal 43 second loss to Kyle Daukaus where he got caught with elbows from guard.
If Pereira survives the early striking exchanges, rounds two and three could get real interesting when he starts hunting for submissions.
Pereira's exciting as hell, but he's been figuring out this weight class the hard way. Shara Magomedov is a different animal entirely. Bullet has been piecing people up with that slick striking, landing 103 strikes against Marc-Andre Barriault and 123 against Michal Oleksiejczuk in decision wins. Remember that spinning back fist that flatlined Armen Petrosyan at UFC 308? Absolutely nasty. His only loss came against Michael Page in a decision, but he's been on a tear otherwise.
The dude throws volume, lands at crazy percentages, and fights with this calm confidence that makes him dangerous every second. Here's the thing though. Pereira showed he's got serious grappling when he caught Ihor Potieria in a standing guillotine in 54 seconds at UFC 301. If Magomedov wants to keep this a kickboxing match, he's got the tools. But can he stop Pereira from making it ugly and dragging him into deep water? That's the whole fight right there.
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Shara Magomedov finish map
Shara Magomedov breakdown
Shara Magomedov's recent form
This is one of those fights where the styles just scream fireworks. Michel Pereira, the Brazilian showman who used to backflip his way into the cage, has been grinding through middleweight with mixed results. He's coming off a split decision win over Zach Reese back in February, but before that? Rough stretch. Anthony Hernandez stopped him with ground elbows in the fifth round back in October 2024, and Abus Magomedov outpointed him pretty clearly. Then there's that brutal 43 second loss to Kyle Daukaus where he got caught with elbows from guard.
If Pereira survives the early striking exchanges, rounds two and three could get real interesting when he starts hunting for submissions.
Pereira's exciting as hell, but he's been figuring out this weight class the hard way. Shara Magomedov is a different animal entirely. Bullet has been piecing people up with that slick striking, landing 103 strikes against Marc-Andre Barriault and 123 against Michal Oleksiejczuk in decision wins. Remember that spinning back fist that flatlined Armen Petrosyan at UFC 308? Absolutely nasty. His only loss came against Michael Page in a decision, but he's been on a tear otherwise.
The dude throws volume, lands at crazy percentages, and fights with this calm confidence that makes him dangerous every second. Here's the thing though. Pereira showed he's got serious grappling when he caught Ihor Potieria in a standing guillotine in 54 seconds at UFC 301. If Magomedov wants to keep this a kickboxing match, he's got the tools. But can he stop Pereira from making it ugly and dragging him into deep water? That's the whole fight right there.
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Michel Pereira finish map
Michel Pereira breakdown
Michel Pereira's recent form
Pace delta
+1.5 significant strikes/min
Shara Magomedov averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Michel Pereira sits at 4.5.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
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Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
