Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Nov 7, 2026• In 51 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

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Billy Elekana

Record: 10-2-0

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Lucas Fernando

Record: 14-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Billy Elekana

Lucas Fernando

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Billy Elekana

Lucas Fernando

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Billy Elekana

Sub (53%)

Decision (27%)

Losses (20%)

Lucas Fernando

KO/TKO (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Billy Elekana

Lucas Fernando

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From opening bell, Billy Elekana can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute while Lucas Fernando looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:3

Billy Elekana

Billy Elekana finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (53%)

Decision (27%)

Losses (20%)

Billy Elekana breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ85%

Billy Elekana's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Lucas Fernando must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Lucas Fernando owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (30%) but must solve the — sprawl from Billy Elekana.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Lucas Fernando

Lucas Fernando finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (100%)

Lucas Fernando breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ85%

Lucas Fernando's recent form

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'3" (191 cm)

•

6'3" (191 cm)

Weight

205 lbs (93 kg)

•

205 lbs (93 kg)

Reach

77" (196 cm)

•

80" (203 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Lucas Fernando averages 3.7 significant strikes per minute while Billy Elekana sits at 2.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Billy Elekana and Lucas Fernando, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Elekana vs Fernando odds

Live Polymarket odds for Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Elekana vs Fernando

Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando is on the UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady card on Nov 7, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Elekana vs Fernando: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.