UFC Record Breakdown
Sergei Pavlovich is back hunting for that knockout magic after grinding out two straight decision wins. The Russian southpaw who used to sleep heavyweights in the first round has been forced to show a different side lately. He outworked Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik over three rounds each, landing 145 strikes against Rozenstruik with perfect takedowns. But fans remember the guy who flatlined Curtis Blaydes in just over three minutes, and they're wondering if that killer instinct is still there.
First round is absolutely crucial because Teixeira's best work happens early and Pavlovich needs to establish his pace before the chaos starts.
Tallison Teixeira is riding high after starching Justin Tafa with a nasty elbow just 35 seconds into their fight at UFC 312. That Sydney crowd went absolutely wild. The Brazilian bounced back strong from getting caught early by Derrick Lewis, and now he's got momentum. His most recent win over Tai Tuivasa showed he can hang in there and get the decision when needed, but that Tafa finish reminded everyone he's got serious power.
This matchup is fascinating because Pavlovich has been the more technical, volume striker lately while Teixeira is hunting for the big shot. The Russian's southpaw stance and high output could give Teixeira problems, but one clean elbow or counter punch changes everything at heavyweight. Pavlovich has been in there with the elite guys like Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov, so the experience gap is real. Teixeira needs to make it wild and chaotic early before Pavlovich settles into his rhythm.
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Tallison Teixeira finish map

Tallison Teixeira breakdown
Tallison Teixeira's recent form
Sergei Pavlovich is back hunting for that knockout magic after grinding out two straight decision wins. The Russian southpaw who used to sleep heavyweights in the first round has been forced to show a different side lately. He outworked Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik over three rounds each, landing 145 strikes against Rozenstruik with perfect takedowns. But fans remember the guy who flatlined Curtis Blaydes in just over three minutes, and they're wondering if that killer instinct is still there.
First round is absolutely crucial because Teixeira's best work happens early and Pavlovich needs to establish his pace before the chaos starts.
Tallison Teixeira is riding high after starching Justin Tafa with a nasty elbow just 35 seconds into their fight at UFC 312. That Sydney crowd went absolutely wild. The Brazilian bounced back strong from getting caught early by Derrick Lewis, and now he's got momentum. His most recent win over Tai Tuivasa showed he can hang in there and get the decision when needed, but that Tafa finish reminded everyone he's got serious power.
This matchup is fascinating because Pavlovich has been the more technical, volume striker lately while Teixeira is hunting for the big shot. The Russian's southpaw stance and high output could give Teixeira problems, but one clean elbow or counter punch changes everything at heavyweight. Pavlovich has been in there with the elite guys like Tom Aspinall and Alexander Volkov, so the experience gap is real. Teixeira needs to make it wild and chaotic early before Pavlovich settles into his rhythm.
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Sergei Pavlovich finish map

Sergei Pavlovich breakdown
Sergei Pavlovich's recent form
Pace delta
+0.6 significant strikes/min
Tallison Teixeira averages 5.0 significant strikes per minute while Sergei Pavlovich sits at 4.4.
AI confidence
75%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Tallison Teixeira vs Sergei Pavlovich odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.