UFC Record Breakdown
Alex Perez is coming off a nasty first round knockout over Charles Johnson back in January, landing 55 of 94 strikes before putting him away with that punch. That win was huge after a rough stretch where he got caught in a guillotine by Asu Almabayev and suffered that brutal leg injury against Tatsuro Taira. Perez has always been dangerous with his hands, and that Team Oyama boxing is looking sharp again. Sumudaerji, The Tibetan Eagle, is riding a three fight win streak with back to back unanimous decisions.
If Perez is gonna get the finish, it happens in the first two rounds when his power is freshest.
He's been super active with the volume, throwing 150 plus strikes in his last two fights and landing at a solid clip. That southpaw stance gives orthodox fighters fits, and he's shown he can mix in takedowns when he needs them, going 4 for 5 against Jesus Aguilar. The dude just keeps coming forward and makes you work for 15 minutes. Here's the thing though, these guys actually fought before.
Back in October 2024, Sumudaerji dropped a decision to that same Charles Johnson that Perez just starched. Johnson landed similar striking numbers against both guys, but Perez found the finish while Sumudaerji couldn't. That's gotta be in the back of everyone's mind. Perez has the power advantage and experience at the top of the division, but Sumudaerji's pace and that tricky southpaw angle could give him problems if this goes long.
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Sumudaerji Sumudaerji finish map

Sumudaerji Sumudaerji breakdown
Sumudaerji Sumudaerji's recent form
Alex Perez is coming off a nasty first round knockout over Charles Johnson back in January, landing 55 of 94 strikes before putting him away with that punch. That win was huge after a rough stretch where he got caught in a guillotine by Asu Almabayev and suffered that brutal leg injury against Tatsuro Taira. Perez has always been dangerous with his hands, and that Team Oyama boxing is looking sharp again. Sumudaerji, The Tibetan Eagle, is riding a three fight win streak with back to back unanimous decisions.
If Perez is gonna get the finish, it happens in the first two rounds when his power is freshest.
He's been super active with the volume, throwing 150 plus strikes in his last two fights and landing at a solid clip. That southpaw stance gives orthodox fighters fits, and he's shown he can mix in takedowns when he needs them, going 4 for 5 against Jesus Aguilar. The dude just keeps coming forward and makes you work for 15 minutes. Here's the thing though, these guys actually fought before.
Back in October 2024, Sumudaerji dropped a decision to that same Charles Johnson that Perez just starched. Johnson landed similar striking numbers against both guys, but Perez found the finish while Sumudaerji couldn't. That's gotta be in the back of everyone's mind. Perez has the power advantage and experience at the top of the division, but Sumudaerji's pace and that tricky southpaw angle could give him problems if this goes long.
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Alex Perez finish map

Alex Perez breakdown
Alex Perez's recent form
Pace delta
Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.
AI confidence
95%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
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Sumudaerji Sumudaerji vs Alex Perez odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.