AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.


Michael Johnson and Alexander Hernandez are running it back, and honestly, this lightweight scrap has some serious heat behind it. Johnson's been on an absolute tear lately, stringing together three straight wins including that slick decision over Daniel Zellhuber back in July and a nasty knockout of Ottman Azaitar in December 2024. The Menace is proving he's still got plenty left in the tank at 38 years old. Hernandez is coming in hot too, riding a four fight win streak with three straight finishes.
That first round knockout of Chase Hooper at UFC 319 in August was brutal, and he just starched Diego Ferreira in September with ground and pound. El Gran Chango's been hunting finishes, and his confidence is sky high right now. Here's the thing though, Johnson's experience against top level competition is massive. He's seen everything in this sport, and his southpaw boxing has been looking sharp as hell.
Hernandez brings that aggressive pressure and solid wrestling, but Johnson's been stuffing takedowns and keeping fights standing where he wants them. The striking battle is going to be wild because both guys throw with bad intentions. This is a classic veteran savvy versus hungry momentum fight. Johnson wants to keep proving the doubters wrong, while Hernandez is trying to crack into that top 15 and make some noise in a stacked lightweight division.
UFC Record Breakdown
Expect fireworks early as both guys come out swinging, with the danger level staying high through all three rounds if it goes the distance.

Alexander Hernandez finish map

Alexander Hernandez breakdown
Michael Johnson and Alexander Hernandez are running it back, and honestly, this lightweight scrap has some serious heat behind it. Johnson's been on an absolute tear lately, stringing together three straight wins including that slick decision over Daniel Zellhuber back in July and a nasty knockout of Ottman Azaitar in December 2024. The Menace is proving he's still got plenty left in the tank at 38 years old. Hernandez is coming in hot too, riding a four fight win streak with three straight finishes.
That first round knockout of Chase Hooper at UFC 319 in August was brutal, and he just starched Diego Ferreira in September with ground and pound. El Gran Chango's been hunting finishes, and his confidence is sky high right now. Here's the thing though, Johnson's experience against top level competition is massive. He's seen everything in this sport, and his southpaw boxing has been looking sharp as hell.
Hernandez brings that aggressive pressure and solid wrestling, but Johnson's been stuffing takedowns and keeping fights standing where he wants them. The striking battle is going to be wild because both guys throw with bad intentions. This is a classic veteran savvy versus hungry momentum fight. Johnson wants to keep proving the doubters wrong, while Hernandez is trying to crack into that top 15 and make some noise in a stacked lightweight division.
Expect fireworks early as both guys come out swinging, with the danger level staying high through all three rounds if it goes the distance.

Michael Johnson finish map

Michael Johnson breakdown
Pace delta
Pace profiles are nearly identical across the official stat splits.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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