Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen

Oct 18, 2025Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

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Kyle Nelson

Record: 17-7-1

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Matt Frevola

Record: 11-6-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kyle Nelson

Matt Frevola

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kyle Nelson

Matt Frevola

Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Kyle Nelson

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (38%)

Matt Frevola

KO/TKO (38%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense40%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Kyle Nelson

Matt Frevola

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From opening bell, Kyle Nelson can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Matt Frevola looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (38%)

Kyle Nelson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Kyle Nelson's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Matt Frevola must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Matt Frevola owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (41%) but must solve the 66% sprawl from Kyle Nelson.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Matt Frevola

Matt Frevola finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (38%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (38%)

Matt Frevola breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy39%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense40%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ70%

Matt Frevola's recent form

Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

71" (180 cm)

Stance

Switch

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Kyle Nelson averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Matt Frevola sits at 3.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Kyle Nelson and Matt Frevola, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nelson vs Frevola odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nelson vs Frevola

Kyle Nelson vs Matt Frevola is on the UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen card on Oct 18, 2025 at Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nelson vs Frevola: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.