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UFC Record Breakdown
Gilbert Burns is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian veteran has dropped four straight, including that brutal first round knockout to Michael Morales back in May. But here's the thing, Burns has been fighting absolute killers. Belal Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena, Sean Brady, and Morales. That's a murderers' row. Now he's getting Mike Malott in Winnipeg on April 18, and this feels like a must win situation for Durinho. We're talking about a potential fifth straight loss, which would be career altering. Malott is riding high with three straight wins, including that slick decision over Kevin Holland last October and a nasty knockout of Charles Radtke at UFC 315 in Montreal.
If Burns can survive the early storm and drag Malott into deep water, the second and third rounds could get wild on the ground.
The Canadian crowd is going to be absolutely insane for their boy when the UFC returns to Winnipeg for the first time since 2017. He's 13 and 2 and 1 overall and fighting at home with serious momentum. That guillotine he locked up on Adam Fugitt back in Vancouver? Sick finish. But that loss to Neil Magny showed he can get caught when the grappling gets heavy. This matchup is fascinating because Burns still has that elite Brazilian jiu jitsu and those heavy hands. When he beat Jorge Masvidal, he showed he can mix it up and control fights. Malott is dangerous everywhere though.
He's got solid striking, he's not afraid to grapple, and he's got that home crowd energy. Burns needs to use his experience and not let the moment get too big. The stakes are clear. Burns is fighting to stay relevant in the welterweight division. One more loss and we're talking about retirement conversations. Malott is trying to crack the top 15 and prove he belongs with the elite. Someone's night is ending badly.
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Kevin Holland finish map
Kevin Holland breakdown
Kevin Holland's recent form
Gilbert Burns is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian veteran has dropped four straight, including that brutal first round knockout to Michael Morales back in May. But here's the thing, Burns has been fighting absolute killers. Belal Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena, Sean Brady, and Morales. That's a murderers' row. Now he's getting Mike Malott in Winnipeg on April 18, and this feels like a must win situation for Durinho. We're talking about a potential fifth straight loss, which would be career altering. Malott is riding high with three straight wins, including that slick decision over Kevin Holland last October and a nasty knockout of Charles Radtke at UFC 315 in Montreal.
If Burns can survive the early storm and drag Malott into deep water, the second and third rounds could get wild on the ground.
The Canadian crowd is going to be absolutely insane for their boy when the UFC returns to Winnipeg for the first time since 2017. He's 13 and 2 and 1 overall and fighting at home with serious momentum. That guillotine he locked up on Adam Fugitt back in Vancouver? Sick finish. But that loss to Neil Magny showed he can get caught when the grappling gets heavy. This matchup is fascinating because Burns still has that elite Brazilian jiu jitsu and those heavy hands. When he beat Jorge Masvidal, he showed he can mix it up and control fights. Malott is dangerous everywhere though.
He's got solid striking, he's not afraid to grapple, and he's got that home crowd energy. Burns needs to use his experience and not let the moment get too big. The stakes are clear. Burns is fighting to stay relevant in the welterweight division. One more loss and we're talking about retirement conversations. Malott is trying to crack the top 15 and prove he belongs with the elite. Someone's night is ending badly.
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Mike Malott finish map
Mike Malott breakdown
Mike Malott's recent form
Pace delta
+0.3 significant strikes/min
Kevin Holland averages 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Mike Malott sits at 3.9.
AI confidence
93%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
