Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Mar 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA

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Kyle Nelson

Record: 17-7-1

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Terrance McKinney

Record: 18-9-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kyle Nelson

Terrance McKinney

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Kyle Nelson

Terrance McKinney

Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Kyle Nelson

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (38%)

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (26%)

Losses (30%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency53%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Kyle Nelson

Terrance McKinney

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From opening bell, Kyle Nelson can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Terrance McKinney looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (38%)

Kyle Nelson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense66%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Kyle Nelson's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Terrance McKinney must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Terrance McKinney owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (42%) but must solve the 66% sprawl from Kyle Nelson.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Terrance McKinney

Terrance McKinney finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (26%)

Losses (30%)

Terrance McKinney breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency53%

Takedown Defense72%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Terrance McKinney's recent form

Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

73" (185 cm)

Stance

Switch

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.2 significant strikes/min

Terrance McKinney averages 6.8 significant strikes per minute while Kyle Nelson sits at 3.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Nelson vs McKinney odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Nelson vs McKinney

Kyle Nelson vs Terrance McKinney is on the UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer card on Mar 28, 2026 at Seattle, Washington, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Nelson vs McKinney: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.