AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
T. Wrecks versus The Monster. This one's got chaos written all over it. McKinney's been on a wild ride lately, bouncing back from that brutal 37 second head kick KO against Ribovics with two nasty first round finishes. He strangled Hadzovic unconscious in just over two minutes, then caught Borshchev in a guillotine from mount in 55 seconds. But then Chris Duncan threw him a curveball in December, catching him in an anaconda choke.
If McKinney doesn't get it done in the first five minutes, Nelson's pressure and pace could take over late.
That's the McKinney experience, pure violence one way or the other. Nelson's coming off a big win over Matt Frevola in Vancouver, grinding out a decision after landing 92 strikes and controlling almost three minutes. Before that though, Steve Garcia elbowed him into oblivion from half guard. The Monster's got power too, he slept Bill Algeo at the buzzer of round one back in March 2024. Both these dudes are switch stance fighters who can crack, and both have shown they can get caught. Here's the thing about this matchup.
McKinney's a finishing machine when he's on, five of his last six ended in round one. Nelson's more willing to work through adversity and find his spots over time. But can he survive the early blitz? McKinney throws caution to the wind hunting for that highlight reel moment. One guy's looking for the quick kill, the other's got the cardio and grit to make it ugly if he survives the storm.
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Kyle Nelson finish map

Kyle Nelson breakdown
Kyle Nelson's recent form
T. Wrecks versus The Monster. This one's got chaos written all over it. McKinney's been on a wild ride lately, bouncing back from that brutal 37 second head kick KO against Ribovics with two nasty first round finishes. He strangled Hadzovic unconscious in just over two minutes, then caught Borshchev in a guillotine from mount in 55 seconds. But then Chris Duncan threw him a curveball in December, catching him in an anaconda choke.
If McKinney doesn't get it done in the first five minutes, Nelson's pressure and pace could take over late.
That's the McKinney experience, pure violence one way or the other. Nelson's coming off a big win over Matt Frevola in Vancouver, grinding out a decision after landing 92 strikes and controlling almost three minutes. Before that though, Steve Garcia elbowed him into oblivion from half guard. The Monster's got power too, he slept Bill Algeo at the buzzer of round one back in March 2024. Both these dudes are switch stance fighters who can crack, and both have shown they can get caught. Here's the thing about this matchup.
McKinney's a finishing machine when he's on, five of his last six ended in round one. Nelson's more willing to work through adversity and find his spots over time. But can he survive the early blitz? McKinney throws caution to the wind hunting for that highlight reel moment. One guy's looking for the quick kill, the other's got the cardio and grit to make it ugly if he survives the storm.
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Terrance McKinney breakdown
Terrance McKinney's recent form
Pace delta
+2.2 significant strikes/min
Terrance McKinney averages 5.8 significant strikes per minute while Kyle Nelson sits at 3.6.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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