UFC Fight Night
Aug 22, 2026In 2 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Roman Dolidze 3.2 SLpM, Reinier Ridder 2.2 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Roman Dolidze 41%, Reinier Ridder 53%
  • Damage Avoidance: Roman Dolidze 3.7 abs/min, Reinier Ridder 2.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Roman Dolidze 43%, Reinier Ridder 30%
  • Takedown Defense: Roman Dolidze 32%, Reinier Ridder 50%
  • Submission Threat: Roman Dolidze 0.7 per 15m, Reinier Ridder 0.7 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Roman Dolidze
Reinier Ridder

Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Roman Dolidze
9-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (41%)
Decision (33%)
Losses (26%)
Reinier Ridder
4-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (19%)
Sub (38%)
Decision (19%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense32%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Roman Dolidze
Reinier Ridder
Betting odds

Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder sportsbook odds

Reinier Ridder is the betting favourite at -400 (1.25), with Roman Dolidze priced at +316 (4.16). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Roman Dolidze

Implied 24%Line drifting
+3164.16

Reinier Ridder

FavouriteImplied 80%Line shortening
-4001.25

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Both guys are jumping up to 205 pounds for this one, and it's wild to think about what that means for the grappling exchanges. De Ridder just went through a rough patch at middleweight, dropping back to back losses to Brendan Allen (corner stoppage after four rounds) and Caio Borralho (unanimous decision). But before that? He was on fire, choking out Kevin Holland in the first round at UFC 311 and landing that nasty body knee that finished Bo Nickal. The dude's a submission wizard who can crack you on the feet too.

Key Storylines
  • Both fighters making fresh starts at 205 pounds
  • De Ridder's submission wizardry meets Dolidze's ground power
  • Two guys trying to bounce back from tough losses
Finishing Window

If this hits the mat in rounds two or three, someone's getting finished.

Dolidze's been on his own rollercoaster. He beat Marvin Vettori in a five round war, then got caught in a rear naked choke by Anthony Hernandez in the fourth round of his headliner. Most recently, he dropped a decision to Christian Leroy Duncan. Now he's moving up a weight class looking for a fresh start. Here's the thing though, both these guys have finished Kevin Holland, so we know they can get the job done when they smell blood.

The matchup is fascinating because De Ridder's southpaw grappling against Dolidze's power and scrambling ability could go either way. RdR has that slick submission game that's caught so many guys sleeping, but Dolidze showed against Holland he can dominate with ground and pound when he gets on top. At light heavyweight, the extra weight might favor the guy who can impose their game first. Fans are curious to see if the move up helps both guys feel stronger or if it just means they're carrying more weight into deep waters.

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Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder Stats Comparison

Age
38
35
Height
6'2" (188 cm)
6'4" (193 cm)
Weight
185 lbs (84 kg)
185 lbs (84 kg)
Reach
76" (193 cm)
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.0 significant strikes/min

Roman Dolidze averages 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Reinier Ridder sits at 2.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Roman Dolidze and Reinier Ridder, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Dolidze vs Ridder odds

Live Polymarket odds for Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Dolidze vs Ridder

Roman Dolidze vs Reinier Ridder is on the UFC Fight Night card on Aug 22, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Dolidze vs Ridder: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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