UFC Record Breakdown
Jackson "The Moose" McVey and Wes "Party Time" Schultz are bringing serious submission danger to UFC Vegas 121. Both these middleweights have been hunting necks lately, and fans are already calling this a grappler's dream matchup. McVey just bounced back huge in April, catching Sedriques Dumas in a D'Arce choke at 2:14 of the first round after eating two tough submission losses. Here's the thing though. McVey's recent run has been a wild ride.
When these two hit the mat and someone locks up a submission, the scramble to survive or finish is where this fight gets decided.
That slick finish over Dumas showed he's still got that killer instinct, but before that he got caught by Zach Reese with a rear naked choke and Brunno Ferreira locked up an armbar from mount. Three straight submission finishes, just going different ways. Schultz is coming off his own rollercoaster. He pulled off a sick third round guillotine from bottom guard against Ben Johnston in Perth back in May, but got starched by Damian Pinas with a first round punch in Mexico City before that. The southpaw versus orthodox grappling chess match is what makes this one interesting.
McVey showed he can land strikes at a crazy 76% clip in that Dumas fight, but Schultz trains out of Pura Vida BJJ and clearly isn't afraid to hunt submissions from anywhere. Both guys have proven they can finish fights on the mat, but they've also shown they can get finished. Someone's submission defense is about to get tested hard, and fans are wondering who blinks first when this hits the ground.
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Wes Schultz finish map

Wes Schultz breakdown
Wes Schultz's recent form
Jackson "The Moose" McVey and Wes "Party Time" Schultz are bringing serious submission danger to UFC Vegas 121. Both these middleweights have been hunting necks lately, and fans are already calling this a grappler's dream matchup. McVey just bounced back huge in April, catching Sedriques Dumas in a D'Arce choke at 2:14 of the first round after eating two tough submission losses. Here's the thing though. McVey's recent run has been a wild ride.
When these two hit the mat and someone locks up a submission, the scramble to survive or finish is where this fight gets decided.
That slick finish over Dumas showed he's still got that killer instinct, but before that he got caught by Zach Reese with a rear naked choke and Brunno Ferreira locked up an armbar from mount. Three straight submission finishes, just going different ways. Schultz is coming off his own rollercoaster. He pulled off a sick third round guillotine from bottom guard against Ben Johnston in Perth back in May, but got starched by Damian Pinas with a first round punch in Mexico City before that. The southpaw versus orthodox grappling chess match is what makes this one interesting.
McVey showed he can land strikes at a crazy 76% clip in that Dumas fight, but Schultz trains out of Pura Vida BJJ and clearly isn't afraid to hunt submissions from anywhere. Both guys have proven they can finish fights on the mat, but they've also shown they can get finished. Someone's submission defense is about to get tested hard, and fans are wondering who blinks first when this hits the ground.
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Jackson McVey breakdown
Jackson McVey's recent form
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Jackson McVey averages 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Wes Schultz sits at 4.6.
AI confidence
88%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.