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UFC Record Breakdown
This is wild. Aleksandar Rakic is jumping up to heavyweight after getting knocked out by Azamat Murzakanov back in October. The Austrian has been on a brutal skid at 205, dropping four straight including that nasty ground and pound finish from Jiri Prochazka at UFC 300. Now he's testing the waters at heavyweight against Marcin Tybura in Belgrade, which is basically a homecoming fight for Rocket. Tybura's had his own rough patch lately. He got caught in a first round armbar by Serghei Spivac back in August 2024, then got knocked out by Ante Delija in Paris last September.
If Rakic's power translates up a weight class, the first round could get crazy, but Tybura's cardio and veteran savvy make the later rounds dangerous for a heavyweight newcomer.
The Polish veteran bounced back with a decision win over Mick Parkin in London, landing 64 strikes and showing he can still grind, but then dropped another decision to Tyrell Fortune just two months ago. He's sitting at heavyweight number 8 in the rankings, so this is a real test for Rakic's move up. Here's the thing about this matchup. Rakic's got serious power and speed for 205, but how's that translate when he's facing actual heavyweights? Tybura's a crafty veteran who's been in there with everyone. He landed 153 strikes at 82% accuracy when he stopped Jhonata Diniz with that doctor's stoppage at UFC 309.
The guy knows how to work a fight over three rounds. Rakic needs this badly. Four straight losses at light heavyweight, and now he's rolling the dice on a whole new weight class. Either the extra size helps him or Tybura's experience at heavyweight becomes the difference.
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Unlock full analysisAleksandar Rakic finish map
Aleksandar Rakic breakdown
Aleksandar Rakic's recent form
This is wild. Aleksandar Rakic is jumping up to heavyweight after getting knocked out by Azamat Murzakanov back in October. The Austrian has been on a brutal skid at 205, dropping four straight including that nasty ground and pound finish from Jiri Prochazka at UFC 300. Now he's testing the waters at heavyweight against Marcin Tybura in Belgrade, which is basically a homecoming fight for Rocket. Tybura's had his own rough patch lately. He got caught in a first round armbar by Serghei Spivac back in August 2024, then got knocked out by Ante Delija in Paris last September.
If Rakic's power translates up a weight class, the first round could get crazy, but Tybura's cardio and veteran savvy make the later rounds dangerous for a heavyweight newcomer.
The Polish veteran bounced back with a decision win over Mick Parkin in London, landing 64 strikes and showing he can still grind, but then dropped another decision to Tyrell Fortune just two months ago. He's sitting at heavyweight number 8 in the rankings, so this is a real test for Rakic's move up. Here's the thing about this matchup. Rakic's got serious power and speed for 205, but how's that translate when he's facing actual heavyweights? Tybura's a crafty veteran who's been in there with everyone. He landed 153 strikes at 82% accuracy when he stopped Jhonata Diniz with that doctor's stoppage at UFC 309.
The guy knows how to work a fight over three rounds. Rakic needs this badly. Four straight losses at light heavyweight, and now he's rolling the dice on a whole new weight class. Either the extra size helps him or Tybura's experience at heavyweight becomes the difference.
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Marcin Tybura breakdown
Marcin Tybura's recent form
Pace delta
+0.6 significant strikes/min
Aleksandar Rakic averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Marcin Tybura sits at 3.6.
AI confidence
90%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
