UFC Fight Night
Aug 1, 2026In 4 daysBelgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Oban Elliott 3.6 SLpM, Michael Oliveira —
  • Striking Accuracy: Oban Elliott 48%, Michael Oliveira —
  • Damage Avoidance: Oban Elliott 2.2 abs/min, Michael Oliveira —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Oban Elliott 40%, Michael Oliveira —
  • Takedown Defense: Oban Elliott 52%, Michael Oliveira —
  • Submission Threat: Oban Elliott —, Michael Oliveira —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Oban Elliott
Michael Oliveira

Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Oban Elliott
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Decision (48%)
Losses (29%)
Michael Oliveira
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense52%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

N/A

Last Opponents

Oban Elliott
Michael Oliveira

Oban Elliott is stepping into a serious test here. The Welsh Gangster is coming off back to back losses, getting submitted by Jonathan Micallef in Sydney and dropping a decision to Seokhyeon Ko before that. Those are tough setbacks, but here's the thing: Elliott showed he can still crack when he knocked out Bassil Hafez at MSG in 2024. That third round finish proved his power is real. Now he's facing Michael Oliveira, a Brazilian making his UFC debut, and Elliott needs this one badly. Oliveira is a complete mystery at this level.

Key Storylines
  • Elliott desperately needs to snap his two fight skid
  • Oliveira faces the unknown pressure of his UFC debut
  • Welsh power versus Brazilian mystery at welterweight
Finishing Window

If Elliott's going to get it done, that third round knockout power he showed against Hafez needs to show up early before Oliveira settles in.

No UFC fight history means we're going off regional tape and gym reputation from KO Squad MMA. That's always dangerous because you never know how a guy handles that octagon for the first time. Meanwhile, Elliott has been in there with legit competition and knows what it takes to get a W in the big show. The technical breakdown favors experience here. Elliott can strike at range and showed solid volume against Val Woodburn, landing 136 strikes in that decision win. His takedown defense has been shaky though, and if Oliveira brings that Brazilian grappling pedigree, Elliott could be in trouble on the mat again.

That's where his last two losses came from, either getting controlled or straight up submitted. This is a must win spot for Elliott. Another loss puts him in a real bad place with the UFC. Oliveira gets the debut jitters advantage, nothing to lose and everything to prove.

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Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira Stats Comparison

Age
28
28
Height
6'0" (183 cm)
6'1" (185 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
79" (201 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira AI Analysis

Pace delta

Limited volume data in the official feed for this matchup.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Elliott vs Oliveira odds

Live Polymarket odds for Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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