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UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026In 17 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Francisco Prado 4.1 SLpM, Artur Minev 1.0 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Francisco Prado 43%, Artur Minev 61%
  • Damage Avoidance: Francisco Prado 5.0 abs/min, Artur Minev 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Francisco Prado 19%, Artur Minev —
  • Takedown Defense: Francisco Prado 50%, Artur Minev 64%
  • Submission Threat: Francisco Prado 0.5 per 15m, Artur Minev —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Francisco Prado
Artur Minev

Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Francisco Prado
1-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (55%)
Losses (45%)
Artur Minev
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy61%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense64%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Francisco Prado
Artur Minev

Francisco Prado has lost four straight decisions, and you can feel how badly he needs a different night. Artur Minev has a question of his own to answer after Tommy Gantt stopped him with punches from back control in round 2. Put those two situations together, and this fight has a lot more tension than its place on the card suggests. Remember Prado punching Ottman Azaitar from guard for a stoppage in round 1?

Key Storylines
  • Four straight decisions have gone against Prado despite one split verdict
  • Minev returns after punches from back control ended his last fight
  • Matching 69 inch reaches put timing and position under the microscope
Finishing Window

The fight could open up late in round 1 or early in round 2, when a close exchange turns into a scramble and someone has to react fast.

Since then, he has gone the distance with Daniel Zellhuber, Jake Matthews, Nikolay Veretennikov and Charles Radtke, losing every decision, though the Veretennikov result was split. The only recent fight listed for Minev is the loss to Gantt, so nobody should pretend that one result tells us everything about him. What matters here is how he handles another hard moment. Both men stand orthodox and have a 69 inch reach, which makes the first exchanges worth watching closely.

Prado needs to give the judges clear moments instead of letting another close fight slip through his hands; when he finds a useful position, he has shown he can make his punches count. Minev needs to stay sharp as the distance closes and protect his back if they scramble, because that was where his last fight went wrong. They are both young and unranked, but the pressure is real. Does Prado halt the slide, or does Minev show what he learned from that loss?

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Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev Stats Comparison

Age
24
22
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.1 significant strikes/min

Francisco Prado averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Artur Minev sits at 1.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Francisco Prado and Artur Minev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Prado vs Minev odds

Live Polymarket odds for Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Prado vs Minev

Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 10, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Prado vs Minev: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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