UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026In 63 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Francisco Prado 4.1 SLpM, Artur Minev 1.0 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Francisco Prado 43%, Artur Minev 61%
  • Damage Avoidance: Francisco Prado 5.0 abs/min, Artur Minev 3.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Francisco Prado 19%, Artur Minev —
  • Takedown Defense: Francisco Prado 50%, Artur Minev 64%
  • Submission Threat: Francisco Prado 0.5 per 15m, Artur Minev —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Francisco Prado
Artur Minev

Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Francisco Prado
1-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (55%)
Losses (45%)
Artur Minev
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy61%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense64%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Francisco Prado
Artur Minev

Francisco Prado is in a rough spot right now. The American Top Team fighter has dropped four straight in the UFC, and this matchup with Artur "Headhunter" Minev feels like a must-win situation. Prado's last victory came back in July 2023 when he knocked out Ottman Azaitar with ground and pound in the first round. Since then, it's been nothing but decision losses, including a tough split decision against Nikolay Veretennikov and unanimous setbacks to Jake Matthews and Charles Radtke. The guy can scrap, but he's been on the wrong side of the scorecards way too often.

Key Storylines
  • Prado desperately needs to snap his four fight skid
  • Minev hunting another violent finish after the Gantt knockout
  • American Top Team corner trying to solve Prado's decision problem
Finishing Window

If Minev finds an opening in the second or third round, he's got the killer instinct to end it violently.

Minev doesn't have much UFC mileage yet, but his last outing tells you everything about the danger he brings. Tommy Gantt was piecing him up early, landing at a crazy 85% clip, but Headhunter found his moment in round two and finished the fight with punches from back control. That's the kind of finish that sticks with you. When this guy gets his opportunities, he capitalizes. This is a classic crossroads fight.

Prado needs to find that finishing instinct he showed against Azaitar, because grinding out decisions hasn't been working for him. He's thrown volume in his recent fights but hasn't been efficient enough. Minev is hunting for that knockout or submission, and if Prado can't keep things technical and controlled, Headhunter will make him pay. Both guys are fighting for their UFC lives here.

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Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev Stats Comparison

Age
24
22
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.1 significant strikes/min

Francisco Prado averages 4.1 significant strikes per minute while Artur Minev sits at 1.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Francisco Prado and Artur Minev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Prado vs Minev odds

Live Polymarket odds for Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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