UFC Record Breakdown
Alex Pereira just vacated the light heavyweight belt to chase history at heavyweight, and the UFC made it official this past weekend. Dana White announced Poatan versus Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title at the White House card, and now Pereira's hunting that third division championship. Meanwhile, Gane's coming off that weird no contest with Tom Aspinall at UFC 321 back in October, an eye poke that stopped what was shaping up to be a crazy title fight. Before that mess, Gane beat Alexander Volkov by split decision in December, showing he's still dangerous even if the finish wasn't there. Here's the thing, Pereira's been an absolute wrecking machine at 205. He knocked out Jamahal Hill, head kicked Jiri Prochazka into the shadow realm in round two at UFC 303, then starched Khalil Rountree in the fourth round.
If Pereira's gonna land that left hook or Gane's gonna break him down with volume, it's happening in rounds two and three when the reads are made and someone commits.
The only blemish was losing a decision to Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 313, but he got that belt right back with brutal elbows from half guard in the rematch. Now he's jumping up to heavyweight where Gane's been living, and that size difference is real. Gane's got that slick Muay Thai background and moves like he's two weight classes lighter. He pieced up Serghei Spivac and Tai Tuivasa with those technical striking clinics in Paris. But Jon Jones guillotined him in just over two minutes when the belt was on the line at UFC 285, and that's the question mark. Can his speed and footwork keep Pereira's power at bay, or does Poatan's left hook find a home even against bigger bodies?
Tom Aspinall revealed earlier this year that his confidence took a serious hit after that no contest with Gane, admitting the eye poke situation messed with his head more than he expected. The heavyweight champ's comments add extra context to how dangerous Gane looked before that fight got stopped. The White House card announcement dropped in March with this fight officially set for the interim heavyweight title, making Pereira's move up even more significant. If Poatan wins, he becomes the first fighter ever to hold belts in three different UFC divisions.
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Tom Aspinall breakdown
Tom Aspinall's recent form
Alex Pereira just vacated the light heavyweight belt to chase history at heavyweight, and the UFC made it official this past weekend. Dana White announced Poatan versus Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title at the White House card, and now Pereira's hunting that third division championship. Meanwhile, Gane's coming off that weird no contest with Tom Aspinall at UFC 321 back in October, an eye poke that stopped what was shaping up to be a crazy title fight. Before that mess, Gane beat Alexander Volkov by split decision in December, showing he's still dangerous even if the finish wasn't there. Here's the thing, Pereira's been an absolute wrecking machine at 205. He knocked out Jamahal Hill, head kicked Jiri Prochazka into the shadow realm in round two at UFC 303, then starched Khalil Rountree in the fourth round.
If Pereira's gonna land that left hook or Gane's gonna break him down with volume, it's happening in rounds two and three when the reads are made and someone commits.
The only blemish was losing a decision to Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 313, but he got that belt right back with brutal elbows from half guard in the rematch. Now he's jumping up to heavyweight where Gane's been living, and that size difference is real. Gane's got that slick Muay Thai background and moves like he's two weight classes lighter. He pieced up Serghei Spivac and Tai Tuivasa with those technical striking clinics in Paris. But Jon Jones guillotined him in just over two minutes when the belt was on the line at UFC 285, and that's the question mark. Can his speed and footwork keep Pereira's power at bay, or does Poatan's left hook find a home even against bigger bodies?
Tom Aspinall revealed earlier this year that his confidence took a serious hit after that no contest with Gane, admitting the eye poke situation messed with his head more than he expected. The heavyweight champ's comments add extra context to how dangerous Gane looked before that fight got stopped. The White House card announcement dropped in March with this fight officially set for the interim heavyweight title, making Pereira's move up even more significant. If Poatan wins, he becomes the first fighter ever to hold belts in three different UFC divisions.
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Ciryl Gane breakdown
Ciryl Gane's recent form
Pace delta
+2.3 significant strikes/min
Tom Aspinall averages 7.6 significant strikes per minute while Ciryl Gane sits at 5.3.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.