AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Here's the thing: these two already threw down in Abu Dhabi back in October, and it ended in the most frustrating way possible. Aspinall was landing clean, Gane was moving slick, and then an eye poke at 4:35 of the first round shut the whole thing down. What looked accidental turned into a major controversy when Aspinall accused Gane of intentional cheating, saying Gane had his fingers pointed at his eyes in nearly every exchange. Fans are still pissed because we got robbed of what was shaping up to be an absolute banger. The aftermath got messy. Aspinall was diagnosed with bilateral traumatic Brown's syndrome and still hasn't been medically cleared to train or compete. He might need surgery. Dana White caught heat for suggesting Aspinall didn't want to continue, which fired up the British heavyweight even more.
If this fight happens, expect fireworks early - both guys have proven they can end it in the first round, and neither wants to leave it to the judges this time.
Aspinall posted medical paperwork proving the injury was legit and called out critics as "fucking losers" on social media. White later clarified at the UFC 323 presser that he never said anything negative about Aspinall and expects him to heal up and defend the title in 2025. The communication breakdown between fighter and promoter added another layer to an already heated situation. What makes this matchup so wild is the speed factor at heavyweight. Aspinall's been smoking dudes in under a minute. Remember when he flatlined Sergei Pavlovich in 69 seconds at MSG, or that 60 second destruction of Curtis Blaydes in Manchester? The guy's a finishing machine. But Gane's got that Muay Thai background and moves like he's two weight classes lighter.
When they fought, Gane was actually landing at 75% and looked comfortable in the pocket before everything went sideways. The technical battle is insane to think about. Aspinall throws heat and closes distance like a freight train, but Gane's footwork and range management are next level. Just look at how he picked apart Serghei Spivac with 110 strikes landed, or how he outworked Alexander Volkov over three rounds in December 2024. Can Gane stay on the outside and point fight his way through five rounds, or does Aspinall's power eventually catch up to him? That's the million dollar question. This is for the heavyweight title, and both guys know they've got unfinished business. The first fight answered nothing, and now the whole division is waiting to see who's really the best heavyweight on the planet.
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Unlock full analysisTom Aspinall finish map

Tom Aspinall breakdown
Tom Aspinall's recent form
Here's the thing: these two already threw down in Abu Dhabi back in October, and it ended in the most frustrating way possible. Aspinall was landing clean, Gane was moving slick, and then an eye poke at 4:35 of the first round shut the whole thing down. What looked accidental turned into a major controversy when Aspinall accused Gane of intentional cheating, saying Gane had his fingers pointed at his eyes in nearly every exchange. Fans are still pissed because we got robbed of what was shaping up to be an absolute banger. The aftermath got messy. Aspinall was diagnosed with bilateral traumatic Brown's syndrome and still hasn't been medically cleared to train or compete. He might need surgery. Dana White caught heat for suggesting Aspinall didn't want to continue, which fired up the British heavyweight even more.
If this fight happens, expect fireworks early - both guys have proven they can end it in the first round, and neither wants to leave it to the judges this time.
Aspinall posted medical paperwork proving the injury was legit and called out critics as "fucking losers" on social media. White later clarified at the UFC 323 presser that he never said anything negative about Aspinall and expects him to heal up and defend the title in 2025. The communication breakdown between fighter and promoter added another layer to an already heated situation. What makes this matchup so wild is the speed factor at heavyweight. Aspinall's been smoking dudes in under a minute. Remember when he flatlined Sergei Pavlovich in 69 seconds at MSG, or that 60 second destruction of Curtis Blaydes in Manchester? The guy's a finishing machine. But Gane's got that Muay Thai background and moves like he's two weight classes lighter.
When they fought, Gane was actually landing at 75% and looked comfortable in the pocket before everything went sideways. The technical battle is insane to think about. Aspinall throws heat and closes distance like a freight train, but Gane's footwork and range management are next level. Just look at how he picked apart Serghei Spivac with 110 strikes landed, or how he outworked Alexander Volkov over three rounds in December 2024. Can Gane stay on the outside and point fight his way through five rounds, or does Aspinall's power eventually catch up to him? That's the million dollar question. This is for the heavyweight title, and both guys know they've got unfinished business. The first fight answered nothing, and now the whole division is waiting to see who's really the best heavyweight on the planet.
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Unlock full analysisCiryl Gane finish map

Ciryl Gane breakdown
Ciryl Gane's recent form
Pace delta
+2.3 significant strikes/min
Tom Aspinall averages 7.6 significant strikes per minute while Ciryl Gane sits at 5.3.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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