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Antonio Trocoli is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian middleweight is riding a three fight skid, and all three losses came by finish. Two standing guillotines in the first round, back to back, against Tresean Gore and then Mansur Abdul-Malik. Before that, Shara Magomedov knocked him out in the third round in Saudi Arabia. When you're getting caught the same way twice in a row, that's not bad luck anymore, that's a pattern. Trocoli needs to figure something out fast or this London trip could get ugly. Here's the thing though, we don't have much intel on Mantas Kondratavicius.
If Trocoli shoots a sloppy takedown early, this could be over before the London crowd settles in.
No UFC history in the database, which means this is his promotional debut. That's a wild card situation. Fresh blood coming into the Octagon against a guy who's desperate to stop the bleeding. Trocoli trains out of LG System in Brazil and fights orthodox, but his recent performances show some serious defensive holes, especially in the grappling exchanges where he's getting his neck snatched. The technical breakdown is pretty straightforward. Trocoli has been too willing to shoot takedowns without setting them up properly, and he's paying for it with his chin exposed. Against Gore he went 0 for 1 on takedowns before getting choked.
Same story against Abdul-Malik. His striking accuracy isn't terrible, sitting around 40 to 51 percent, but he's not landing enough volume before things go south. If Kondratavicius has any submission game at all, Trocoli better have spent this entire camp working on his neck defense. This middleweight scrap is officially locked in for the O2 Arena with Trocoli looking to avoid becoming the first fighter in modern UFC history to lose four straight fights by finish in under five minutes of total cage time. The pressure is absolutely massive for the Brazilian heading into London. Kondratavicius remains a complete mystery with zero UFC tape available, which could actually work in his favor against a desperate opponent who's shown the same defensive flaw three fights running. Sometimes the unknown fighter is the most dangerous one.
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Antonio Trocoli breakdown
Antonio Trocoli's recent form
Antonio Trocoli is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian middleweight is riding a three fight skid, and all three losses came by finish. Two standing guillotines in the first round, back to back, against Tresean Gore and then Mansur Abdul-Malik. Before that, Shara Magomedov knocked him out in the third round in Saudi Arabia. When you're getting caught the same way twice in a row, that's not bad luck anymore, that's a pattern. Trocoli needs to figure something out fast or this London trip could get ugly. Here's the thing though, we don't have much intel on Mantas Kondratavicius.
If Trocoli shoots a sloppy takedown early, this could be over before the London crowd settles in.
No UFC history in the database, which means this is his promotional debut. That's a wild card situation. Fresh blood coming into the Octagon against a guy who's desperate to stop the bleeding. Trocoli trains out of LG System in Brazil and fights orthodox, but his recent performances show some serious defensive holes, especially in the grappling exchanges where he's getting his neck snatched. The technical breakdown is pretty straightforward. Trocoli has been too willing to shoot takedowns without setting them up properly, and he's paying for it with his chin exposed. Against Gore he went 0 for 1 on takedowns before getting choked.
Same story against Abdul-Malik. His striking accuracy isn't terrible, sitting around 40 to 51 percent, but he's not landing enough volume before things go south. If Kondratavicius has any submission game at all, Trocoli better have spent this entire camp working on his neck defense. This middleweight scrap is officially locked in for the O2 Arena with Trocoli looking to avoid becoming the first fighter in modern UFC history to lose four straight fights by finish in under five minutes of total cage time. The pressure is absolutely massive for the Brazilian heading into London. Kondratavicius remains a complete mystery with zero UFC tape available, which could actually work in his favor against a desperate opponent who's shown the same defensive flaw three fights running. Sometimes the unknown fighter is the most dangerous one.
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Mantas Kondratavicius breakdown
Mantas Kondratavicius's recent form
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Antonio Trocoli averages 1.3 significant strikes per minute while Mantas Kondratavicius sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Antonio Trocoli vs Mantas Kondratavicius odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
