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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Gilbert Burns is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian veteran has dropped four straight, including that brutal first round knockout to Michael Morales back in May. But here's the thing, Burns has been fighting absolute killers. Belal Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena, Sean Brady, and Morales. That's a murderers' row. Now he's getting Mike Malott in Winnipeg, and this feels like a must win situation for Durinho. Malott is riding high with three straight wins, including that slick decision over Kevin Holland last October and a nasty knockout of Charles Radtke. The Canadian crowd is going to be absolutely insane for their boy.
If Burns can survive the early storm and drag Malott into deep water, the second and third rounds could get wild on the ground.
He's 6-1 in the UFC and fighting at home. That guillotine he locked up on Adam Fugitt back in Vancouver? Sick finish. But that loss to Neil Magny showed he can get caught when the grappling gets heavy. This matchup is fascinating because Burns still has that elite Brazilian jiu jitsu and those heavy hands. When he beat Jorge Masvidal, he showed he can mix it up and control fights. Malott is dangerous everywhere though. He's got solid striking, he's not afraid to grapple, and he's got that home crowd energy.
Burns needs to use his experience and not let the moment get too big. The stakes are clear. Burns is fighting to stay relevant in the welterweight division. One more loss and we're talking about retirement conversations. Malott is trying to crack the top 15 and prove he belongs with the elite. Someone's night is ending badly.
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Gilbert Burns breakdown
Gilbert Burns's recent form
Gilbert Burns is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian veteran has dropped four straight, including that brutal first round knockout to Michael Morales back in May. But here's the thing, Burns has been fighting absolute killers. Belal Muhammad, Jack Della Maddalena, Sean Brady, and Morales. That's a murderers' row. Now he's getting Mike Malott in Winnipeg, and this feels like a must win situation for Durinho. Malott is riding high with three straight wins, including that slick decision over Kevin Holland last October and a nasty knockout of Charles Radtke. The Canadian crowd is going to be absolutely insane for their boy.
If Burns can survive the early storm and drag Malott into deep water, the second and third rounds could get wild on the ground.
He's 6-1 in the UFC and fighting at home. That guillotine he locked up on Adam Fugitt back in Vancouver? Sick finish. But that loss to Neil Magny showed he can get caught when the grappling gets heavy. This matchup is fascinating because Burns still has that elite Brazilian jiu jitsu and those heavy hands. When he beat Jorge Masvidal, he showed he can mix it up and control fights. Malott is dangerous everywhere though. He's got solid striking, he's not afraid to grapple, and he's got that home crowd energy.
Burns needs to use his experience and not let the moment get too big. The stakes are clear. Burns is fighting to stay relevant in the welterweight division. One more loss and we're talking about retirement conversations. Malott is trying to crack the top 15 and prove he belongs with the elite. Someone's night is ending badly.
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Mike Malott finish map
Mike Malott breakdown
Mike Malott's recent form
Pace delta
+0.8 significant strikes/min
Mike Malott averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Gilbert Burns sits at 3.1.
AI confidence
95%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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