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Two Brazilian strawweights looking to climb back into contention are throwing down at UFC Vegas 120. Amanda Lemos has been through the wars lately, dropping back to back decisions against Tatiana Suarez and Gillian Robertson after that brutal armbar loss to Virna Jandiroba when she headlined her own card. That Jandiroba fight still stings, she was doing well until getting caught in round two. But here's the thing, Lemos showed she belongs at the top when she beat Mackenzie Dern on the scorecards, landing 47 strikes and hitting both her takedown attempts. That southpaw power is always dangerous.
If Lemos is going to get it done, it'll likely happen in the first two rounds before Thainara's pace and pressure start taking over.
Alexia Thainara is riding a completely different wave right now. She's won three straight in the UFC, including that slick rear naked choke over Molly McCann in London that had everyone talking. Most recently she put on a clinic against Bruna Brasil, landing 137 strikes and controlling over nine minutes of that fight. The girl can scrap and she can grapple, which makes this a nightmare matchup for someone trying to get back on track. This is classic striker versus well rounded fighter stuff.
Lemos has that scary southpaw power and can crack you if you get careless, but Thainara showed against Brasil she can push a pace for fifteen minutes and mix things up. Lemos needs to keep this standing and make Thainara respect that power. Thainara wants to pressure, get dirty, and turn this into a dogfight where her cardio and wrestling become factors. For Lemos, it's about stopping the slide before it becomes a real problem. For Thainara, beating a former title challenger would be huge for her ranking.
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Amanda Lemos breakdown
Amanda Lemos's recent form
Two Brazilian strawweights looking to climb back into contention are throwing down at UFC Vegas 120. Amanda Lemos has been through the wars lately, dropping back to back decisions against Tatiana Suarez and Gillian Robertson after that brutal armbar loss to Virna Jandiroba when she headlined her own card. That Jandiroba fight still stings, she was doing well until getting caught in round two. But here's the thing, Lemos showed she belongs at the top when she beat Mackenzie Dern on the scorecards, landing 47 strikes and hitting both her takedown attempts. That southpaw power is always dangerous.
If Lemos is going to get it done, it'll likely happen in the first two rounds before Thainara's pace and pressure start taking over.
Alexia Thainara is riding a completely different wave right now. She's won three straight in the UFC, including that slick rear naked choke over Molly McCann in London that had everyone talking. Most recently she put on a clinic against Bruna Brasil, landing 137 strikes and controlling over nine minutes of that fight. The girl can scrap and she can grapple, which makes this a nightmare matchup for someone trying to get back on track. This is classic striker versus well rounded fighter stuff.
Lemos has that scary southpaw power and can crack you if you get careless, but Thainara showed against Brasil she can push a pace for fifteen minutes and mix things up. Lemos needs to keep this standing and make Thainara respect that power. Thainara wants to pressure, get dirty, and turn this into a dogfight where her cardio and wrestling become factors. For Lemos, it's about stopping the slide before it becomes a real problem. For Thainara, beating a former title challenger would be huge for her ranking.
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Alexia Thainara finish map
Alexia Thainara breakdown
Alexia Thainara's recent form
Pace delta
+1.9 significant strikes/min
Alexia Thainara averages 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Amanda Lemos sits at 2.8.
AI confidence
82%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
