Agent MMA Logo
AgentMMA

UFC Fight Night: Qatar
Nov 21, 2026• In 51 daysDoha, Qatar
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Alessandro Costa 3.8 SLpM, Amir Albazi 2.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Alessandro Costa 46%, Amir Albazi 33%
  • Damage Avoidance: Alessandro Costa 3.7 abs/min, Amir Albazi 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Alessandro Costa 26%, Amir Albazi 25%
  • Takedown Defense: Alessandro Costa 87%, Amir Albazi 62%
  • Submission Threat: Alessandro Costa 0.7 per 15m, Amir Albazi 0.4 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alessandro Costa
Amir Albazi

Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alessandro Costa
5-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (58%)
Sub (15%)
Losses (27%)
Amir Albazi
5-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (16%)
Sub (31%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (22%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense87%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy33%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense62%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Alessandro Costa
Amir Albazi

Fans have a real reason to watch Amir Albazi and Alessandro Costa run it back: Albazi stopped Costa in round 3 in 2022. Now they meet again at UFC Fight Night: Qatar in Doha, with Costa arriving off three straight finishes and Albazi trying to shake off consecutive decision losses. Costa's recent run gives this rematch a different feel: a body punch stopped Stewart Nicoll in round 2, a head punch stopped Matt Schnell in round 1, and a rear naked choke beat Cody Durden in round 2. Albazi, meanwhile, went the distance against Brandon Moreno and Kyoji Horiguchi but lost both by unanimous decision.

Key Storylines
  • Albazi stopped Costa last time, and now they run it back
  • Costa returns with three straight finishes and danger in different positions
  • Two decision losses have Albazi needing a reset in Doha
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in rounds 2 and 3, when sustained exchanges and scrambles start putting defensive discipline under pressure.

That's momentum pulling in opposite directions. Here's the thing: those results give both men plenty to think about before trading freely. Costa's body work makes protecting the head alone a risky plan, while his finish against Durden means turning away during a scramble carries another danger. Albazi has a rear naked choke win over Francisco Figueiredo on his own record, so any grappling exchange needs careful hand fighting and attention to back exposure.

The big question is how much that first meeting still matters once they start exchanging again. Albazi has the previous win, Costa has the recent surge, and neither gets to bring those results into the cage as a safety net.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi Stats Comparison

Age
30
•
32
Height
5'4" (163 cm)
•
5'5" (165 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
•
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
67" (170 cm)
•
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Alessandro Costa averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Amir Albazi sits at 2.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alessandro Costa and Amir Albazi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Costa vs Albazi odds

Live Polymarket odds for Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Costa vs Albazi

Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Costa vs Albazi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events