UFC Fight Night
Sep 5, 2026In 48 daysAccor Arena, Paris, France
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Oumar Sy 3.4 SLpM, Modestas Bukauskas 3.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Oumar Sy 48%, Modestas Bukauskas 43%
  • Damage Avoidance: Oumar Sy 1.9 abs/min, Modestas Bukauskas 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Oumar Sy 35%, Modestas Bukauskas 66%
  • Takedown Defense: Oumar Sy 66%, Modestas Bukauskas 82%
  • Submission Threat: Oumar Sy 0.3 per 15m, Modestas Bukauskas 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Oumar Sy
Modestas Bukauskas

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Oumar Sy
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Sub (24%)
Decision (24%)
Losses (29%)
Modestas Bukauskas
8-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (27%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (36%)
Losses (28%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency71%
Takedown Defense82%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Oumar Sy
Modestas Bukauskas

This light heavyweight scrap in Paris is giving us two guys who love to get violent early. Bukauskas has been on a tear lately, finishing three straight fights in the first round. That elbow from guard that put Paul Craig to sleep in Paris last year? Nasty. Then he starched Rafael Cerqueira in just over two minutes in Seattle. The Baltic Gladiator is hunting finishes and he's not shy about it.

Key Storylines
  • Bukauskas hunting his fourth straight first round finish
  • Sy looking to rebound from brutal Cutelaba guillotine
  • Both fighters have faced Cutelaba with different results
Finishing Window

If this gets out of the first round it'll be a shock, both guys come out swinging for the fences early.

Sy's had a wild ride in the UFC. He's got some slick grappling, like that rear naked choke finish over Tuco Tokkos where he controlled nearly the whole round before locking it in. But his last outing was rough, getting guillotined by Ion Cutelaba in the first round back in March. That's the same Cutelaba that Bukauskas beat by split decision last May, so there's a weird triangle of results here that makes this matchup super interesting. The technical side is fascinating. Bukauskas throws heavy and accurate, landing at 53 to 66 percent in his recent wins.

He's comfortable switching stances and finding angles. Sy's more of a grinder who mixes in takedowns and control time, like when he landed 97 strikes against Da Woon Jung. But here's the thing, when Sy gets caught, he gets caught hard. Bukauskas has that one shot power that ends nights early. This is a huge spot for both guys fighting in France. Sy needs to bounce back after that submission loss, while Bukauskas is trying to build real momentum in the division.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas Stats Comparison

Age
30
32
Height
6'4" (193 cm)
6'3" (191 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
83" (211 cm)
76" (193 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Oumar Sy averages 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Modestas Bukauskas sits at 3.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Oumar Sy and Modestas Bukauskas, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Sy vs Bukauskas odds

Live Polymarket odds for Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events