UFC Fight Night
Sep 5, 2026In 2 daysAccor Arena, Paris, France
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Oumar Sy 3.4 SLpM, Modestas Bukauskas 3.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Oumar Sy 48%, Modestas Bukauskas 43%
  • Damage Avoidance: Oumar Sy 1.9 abs/min, Modestas Bukauskas 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Oumar Sy 35%, Modestas Bukauskas 66%
  • Takedown Defense: Oumar Sy 66%, Modestas Bukauskas 82%
  • Submission Threat: Oumar Sy 0.3 per 15m, Modestas Bukauskas 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Oumar Sy
Modestas Bukauskas

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Oumar Sy
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Sub (24%)
Decision (24%)
Losses (29%)
Modestas Bukauskas
8-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (27%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (36%)
Losses (28%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency71%
Takedown Defense82%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Oumar Sy
Modestas Bukauskas
Betting odds

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas sportsbook odds

Oumar Sy is the betting favourite at -230 (1.43), with Modestas Bukauskas priced at +193 (2.93). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Oumar Sy

FavouriteImplied 69.7%Line shortening
-2301.43

Modestas Bukauskas

Implied 34.1%Line drifting
+1932.93

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Paris gets one of the card's most interesting light heavyweight fights, with home fighter Oumar Sy trying to reset after a rough night against Ion Cutelaba. Across from him, Modestas Bukauskas arrives after squeezing past Christian Edwards by split decision, so neither man is walking in without pressure. Fans know how quickly both can turn a fight wild. Sy submitted Tuco Tokkos in R1, then later stopped Brendson Ribeiro with punches from back control, while Bukauskas has stopped Rafael Cerqueira at distance and caught Paul Craig with an elbow from guard.

Key Storylines
  • Sy gets a huge home crowd chance to erase his latest setback
  • Bukauskas mixes distance power with a nasty ground attack
  • Both men have proved they can fight deep or finish early
Finishing Window

This fight is most likely to break open near the end of R1, when the long range feeling out gives way to harder exchanges and scrambles.

That is a lot of danger in very different places. Here's the thing. Sy is taller and owns an 83 inch reach, a huge gap over Bukauskas at 76 inches. He needs to make that space count, stay composed when Bukauskas switches stance, then connect his long attacks to the grappling positions where he has already done damage.

Bukauskas needs to keep changing the picture, get inside without eating clean shots, and force Sy to work through every phase after a fast start. The big question is how Sy responds in front of the French crowd after his latest loss, and whether Bukauskas can turn one close decision win into real momentum. Both have gone the full R3, and both have shown they can end a night in R1, which makes every early read feel important.

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Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas Stats Comparison

Age
30
32
Height
6'4" (193 cm)
6'3" (191 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
83" (211 cm)
76" (193 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Oumar Sy averages 3.4 significant strikes per minute while Modestas Bukauskas sits at 3.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Oumar Sy and Modestas Bukauskas, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Sy vs Bukauskas odds

Live Polymarket odds for Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Sy vs Bukauskas

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 5, 2026 at Accor Arena, Paris, France. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Sy vs Bukauskas: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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