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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026• In 10 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Movsar Evloev 3.9 SLpM, Alexander Volkanovski 6.0 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Movsar Evloev 47%, Alexander Volkanovski 57%
  • Damage Avoidance: Movsar Evloev 2.8 abs/min, Alexander Volkanovski 3.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Movsar Evloev 52%, Alexander Volkanovski 34%
  • Takedown Defense: Movsar Evloev 61%, Alexander Volkanovski 68%
  • Submission Threat: Movsar Evloev 0.2 per 15m, Alexander Volkanovski 0.2 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Movsar Evloev
Alexander Volkanovski

Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Movsar Evloev
10-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)
Alexander Volkanovski
15-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (29%)
Decision (57%)
Losses (14%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency52%
Takedown Defense61%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense68%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Movsar Evloev
Alexander Volkanovski
Betting odds

Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski sportsbook odds

Alexander Volkanovski is the betting favourite at -110 (1.91), with Movsar Evloev priced at -106 (1.94). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Movsar Evloev

Implied 51.5%Line shortening
-1061.94

Alexander Volkanovski

FavouriteImplied 52.4%Line drifting
-1101.91

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Alexander Volkanovski has the belt, Movsar Evloev has never lost, and UFC 333 puts those two things in the same cage. Fans have a proper featherweight title fight to chew on here, with a champion coming off consecutive wins over Diego Lopes and a challenger who keeps finding a way through every test. Volkanovski beat Lopes by unanimous decision in both meetings, so he arrives with two full championship fights behind him. Evloev's latest outing was a majority decision over Lerone Murphy across five rounds, following a unanimous decision against Aljamain Sterling.

Key Storylines
  • Volkanovski brings two straight title wins, both against Diego Lopes
  • Evloev arrives after five rounds and a majority decision against Lerone Murphy
  • Getting up is one problem; staying away from Evloev is another
Finishing Window

Watch the middle rounds, when the effort of wrestling and getting back upright can leave less energy for clean entries and quick exits.

That gives us something concrete to discuss beyond an unbeaten record: he has also worked through a full five round fight. Here's the interesting bit: getting Volkanovski down and keeping the fight where Evloev wants it are separate jobs, and each demands energy. The champion needs room for his striking, sharp changes of direction and enough time between clinches to put his combinations together. Evloev needs to close those gaps, connect his takedown attempts and make every escape lead straight into another physical exchange.

Both men have recently gone five rounds, but doing it against each other asks a different question about pace and recovery. The belt adds weight to every scramble, and the really tense part is whether either man can start dictating the rhythm without spending too much energy to keep it.

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Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski Stats Comparison

Age
32
•
38
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
•
71" (180 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

Alexander Volkanovski averages 6.0 significant strikes per minute while Movsar Evloev sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Movsar Evloev and Alexander Volkanovski, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Evloev vs Volkanovski odds

Live Polymarket odds for Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Evloev vs Volkanovski

Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Evloev vs Volkanovski: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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