UFC Fight Night
Sep 12, 2026In 15 daysDesert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Manon Fiorot 5.7 SLpM, Alexa Grasso 4.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Manon Fiorot 42%, Alexa Grasso 41%
  • Damage Avoidance: Manon Fiorot 3.6 abs/min, Alexa Grasso 3.7 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Manon Fiorot 29%, Alexa Grasso 35%
  • Takedown Defense: Manon Fiorot 87%, Alexa Grasso 54%
  • Submission Threat: Manon Fiorot —, Alexa Grasso 0.7 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Manon Fiorot
Alexa Grasso

Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Manon Fiorot
8-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (34%)
Decision (56%)
Losses (10%)
Alexa Grasso
10-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (8%)
Sub (16%)
Decision (49%)
Losses (27%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense87%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense54%
Cardio & Endurance77%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Manon Fiorot
Alexa Grasso

This is the fight everyone wanted after Manon Fiorot came up short against Valentina Shevchenko back in May. The Beast has been on a tear through the flyweight division, and now she gets a shot at former champ Alexa Grasso, who just reminded everyone she's still got that power after sleeping Maycee Barber in March with a nasty first round knockout. That finish earned Grasso the Knockout of the Midyear award, and fans are still replaying that punch. Fiorot's been the more active fighter lately, racking up wins over Rose Namajunas, Erin Blanchfield, and Katlyn Chookagian. She even scored a quick ground and pound finish over Jasmine Jasudavicius in October. But that title fight loss to Shevchenko showed she's still got work to do at the elite level.

Key Storylines
  • Grasso riding high after that brutal Barber knockout
  • Fiorot looking to bounce back from Shevchenko title loss
  • Former champ versus the division's most active contender
Finishing Window

Grasso's power makes every exchange dangerous early, but if Fiorot survives the first two rounds, her pace and pressure could break Grasso down late.

Grasso's path has been wild, going 1-1-2 in her last four with three of those being against Valentina. She won the belt with that rear naked choke at UFC 285, fought to a split draw in the rematch, then lost it back in the trilogy. The matchup is fascinating because Fiorot loves to pressure and outwork you over five rounds. She threw 239 strikes against Shevchenko and landed 150 of them. Grasso's more patient, picking her shots, but when she finds that opening, lights out. She's got legit finishing power and slick submissions.

Fiorot's never been stopped, but she's also never faced someone with Grasso's timing and knockout ability at this level. This is a huge fight for both. Fiorot needs a statement win to get back in title talks. Grasso needs to prove she's still a problem in this division and not just the Valentina specialist.

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Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso Stats Comparison

Age
36
33
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
5'5" (165 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
65" (165 cm)
66" (168 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.5 significant strikes/min

Manon Fiorot averages 5.7 significant strikes per minute while Alexa Grasso sits at 4.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Manon Fiorot and Alexa Grasso, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Fiorot vs Grasso odds

Live Polymarket odds for Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Fiorot vs Grasso

Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 12, 2026 at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Fiorot vs Grasso: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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