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This is the fight everyone wanted after Manon Fiorot came up short against Valentina Shevchenko back in May. The Beast has been on a tear through the flyweight division, and now she gets a shot at former champ Alexa Grasso, who just reminded everyone she's still got that power after sleeping Maycee Barber in March with a nasty first round knockout. That finish earned Grasso the Knockout of the Midyear award, and fans are still replaying that punch. Fiorot's been the more active fighter lately, racking up wins over Rose Namajunas, Erin Blanchfield, and Katlyn Chookagian. She even scored a quick ground and pound finish over Jasmine Jasudavicius in October. But that title fight loss to Shevchenko showed she's still got work to do at the elite level.
Grasso's power makes every exchange dangerous early, but if Fiorot survives the first two rounds, her pace and pressure could break Grasso down late.
Grasso's path has been wild, going 1-1-2 in her last four with three of those being against Valentina. She won the belt with that rear naked choke at UFC 285, fought to a split draw in the rematch, then lost it back in the trilogy. The matchup is fascinating because Fiorot loves to pressure and outwork you over five rounds. She threw 239 strikes against Shevchenko and landed 150 of them. Grasso's more patient, picking her shots, but when she finds that opening, lights out. She's got legit finishing power and slick submissions.
Fiorot's never been stopped, but she's also never faced someone with Grasso's timing and knockout ability at this level. This is a huge fight for both. Fiorot needs a statement win to get back in title talks. Grasso needs to prove she's still a problem in this division and not just the Valentina specialist.
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Manon Fiorot finish map
Manon Fiorot breakdown
Manon Fiorot's recent form
This is the fight everyone wanted after Manon Fiorot came up short against Valentina Shevchenko back in May. The Beast has been on a tear through the flyweight division, and now she gets a shot at former champ Alexa Grasso, who just reminded everyone she's still got that power after sleeping Maycee Barber in March with a nasty first round knockout. That finish earned Grasso the Knockout of the Midyear award, and fans are still replaying that punch. Fiorot's been the more active fighter lately, racking up wins over Rose Namajunas, Erin Blanchfield, and Katlyn Chookagian. She even scored a quick ground and pound finish over Jasmine Jasudavicius in October. But that title fight loss to Shevchenko showed she's still got work to do at the elite level.
Grasso's power makes every exchange dangerous early, but if Fiorot survives the first two rounds, her pace and pressure could break Grasso down late.
Grasso's path has been wild, going 1-1-2 in her last four with three of those being against Valentina. She won the belt with that rear naked choke at UFC 285, fought to a split draw in the rematch, then lost it back in the trilogy. The matchup is fascinating because Fiorot loves to pressure and outwork you over five rounds. She threw 239 strikes against Shevchenko and landed 150 of them. Grasso's more patient, picking her shots, but when she finds that opening, lights out. She's got legit finishing power and slick submissions.
Fiorot's never been stopped, but she's also never faced someone with Grasso's timing and knockout ability at this level. This is a huge fight for both. Fiorot needs a statement win to get back in title talks. Grasso needs to prove she's still a problem in this division and not just the Valentina specialist.
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Alexa Grasso finish map
Alexa Grasso breakdown
Alexa Grasso's recent form
Pace delta
+1.5 significant strikes/min
Manon Fiorot averages 5.7 significant strikes per minute while Alexa Grasso sits at 4.1.
AI confidence
75%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
