UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026In 63 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jai Herbert 3.1 SLpM, Matheus Camilo 2.2 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Jai Herbert 40%, Matheus Camilo 43%
  • Damage Avoidance: Jai Herbert 3.3 abs/min, Matheus Camilo 3.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jai Herbert 21%, Matheus Camilo 53%
  • Takedown Defense: Jai Herbert 66%, Matheus Camilo —
  • Submission Threat: Jai Herbert —, Matheus Camilo 0.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jai Herbert
Matheus Camilo

Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jai Herbert
5-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (38%)
Matheus Camilo
2-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency53%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Jai Herbert
Matheus Camilo

The lightweight division is getting a fun scrap as Brazil's Matheus "Jaguar" Camilo takes on England's Jai "Black Country Banger" Herbert. Both guys are coming off knockout wins and looking to build some real momentum in a stacked 155-pound division. This one's got fireworks written all over it. Camilo's been on a tear lately. After dropping a submission loss to Gabe Green back in May 2025, the Brazilian bounced back hard.

Key Storylines
  • Camilo riding two straight wins including a nasty knockout
  • Herbert looking to prove Winnipeg finish wasn't a fluke
  • Two orthodox strikers who actually throw down
Finishing Window

First round is crucial because both guys have shown they can end it early when they land clean.

He outworked Viacheslav Borshchev over three rounds in November, then absolutely starched Nazim Sadykhov in Baku this past June with a brutal first round knockout just 91 seconds in. That's two straight wins and the Xtreme Couture product is looking dangerous. Herbert's had a rockier road but showed he's still got that finishing power in Winnipeg back in April. He put Mandel Nallo away with ground and pound in the first round, getting back in the win column after a tough split decision loss to Chris Padilla in London. Before that rough stretch, the Renegade Jiu Jitsu fighter was putting together solid performances, including that decision win over Rolando Bedoya in Abu Dhabi where he landed 89 strikes.

Both guys are orthodox strikers who love to bang, and neither one's shy about looking for the finish. Camilo's got that Brazilian aggression and Herbert brings that English grit. Someone's momentum is about to take a serious hit.

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Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo Stats Comparison

Age
38
25
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
5'10" (178 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
77" (196 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.9 significant strikes/min

Jai Herbert averages 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Matheus Camilo sits at 2.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jai Herbert and Matheus Camilo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Herbert vs Camilo odds

Live Polymarket odds for Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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