Agent MMA Logo
AgentMMA

UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026In 17 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Jai Herbert 3.1 SLpM, Matheus Camilo 2.2 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Jai Herbert 40%, Matheus Camilo 43%
  • Damage Avoidance: Jai Herbert 3.3 abs/min, Matheus Camilo 3.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Jai Herbert 21%, Matheus Camilo 53%
  • Takedown Defense: Jai Herbert 66%, Matheus Camilo —
  • Submission Threat: Jai Herbert —, Matheus Camilo 0.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jai Herbert
Matheus Camilo

Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jai Herbert
5-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (38%)
Matheus Camilo
2-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency53%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Jai Herbert
Matheus Camilo

Matheus Camilo and Jai Herbert headline this card after finishes that looked nothing alike. Camilo caught Nazim Sadykhov with a punch at distance, while Herbert stopped Mandel Nallo with punches on the ground. Fans have seen both men change a fight in a hurry, so even the first clean exchange could get loud. Camilo is 25 and has won twice since Gabe Green submitted him with a rear naked choke. He took a unanimous decision over Viacheslav Borshchev before stopping Sadykhov.

Key Storylines
  • Camilo turned a submission loss into two straight wins
  • Herbert answered a split decision loss with punches on the ground
  • Herbert's reach makes every Camilo entry a problem to solve
Finishing Window

The opening round could break open when they first test that reach gap, because a mistimed entry can turn a clean exchange into a scramble.

Herbert, 38, answered a split decision loss to Chris Padilla by stopping Nallo in the opening round. Both have a recent setback behind them, and both have shown they can come back from one. Here's the thing: Herbert has a 77 inch reach against Camilo's 69, and both stand orthodox. That gives Herbert a chance to work from farther out, but Camilo's shot against Sadykhov is a warning against assuming distance means safety. Camilo has to get close without rushing blindly through Herbert's punches.

Herbert has to make that longer reach count, then be ready when an exchange gets crowded or spills into a scramble. Can Herbert keep the space he wants once Camilo starts moving forward? Can Camilo get inside without taking the first clean shot? Those questions give this lightweight main event its edge, especially with both men coming off stoppages and neither likely to want a slow start.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo Stats Comparison

Age
38
25
Height
6'1" (185 cm)
5'10" (178 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
77" (196 cm)
69" (175 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.9 significant strikes/min

Jai Herbert averages 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Matheus Camilo sits at 2.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jai Herbert and Matheus Camilo, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Herbert vs Camilo odds

Live Polymarket odds for Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Herbert vs Camilo

Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 10, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Herbert vs Camilo: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events