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UFC 334
Nov 14, 2026• In 7 daysMadison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Drew Dober 4.5 SLpM, Chris Duncan 4.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Drew Dober 41%, Chris Duncan 45%
  • Damage Avoidance: Drew Dober 4.3 abs/min, Chris Duncan 4.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Drew Dober 16%, Chris Duncan 40%
  • Takedown Defense: Drew Dober 58%, Chris Duncan 55%
  • Submission Threat: Drew Dober 0.1 per 15m, Chris Duncan 0.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Drew Dober
Chris Duncan

Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Drew Dober
15-11UFC Record
KO/TKO (41%)
Sub (4%)
Decision (11%)
Losses (41%)
No Contest (1)
Chris Duncan
6-2UFC Record
Sub (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%
Takedown Accuracy16%
Takedown Defense58%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Takedown Accuracy40%
Takedown Defense55%

Last Opponents

Drew Dober
Chris Duncan
Betting odds

Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan sportsbook odds

Chris Duncan is the betting favourite at -165 (1.61), with Drew Dober priced at +140 (2.40). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Drew Dober

Implied 41.7%Line shortening
+1402.40

Chris Duncan

FavouriteImplied 62.3%Line drifting
-1651.61

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Drew Dober and Chris Duncan both know how rough a night with Renato Moicano can get, but those losses tell different stories. Dober went the distance; Duncan got caught. At UFC 334 in Madison Square Garden, the fun is figuring out which lessons actually matter when they face each other. Dober arrives after stopping Michael Johnson in round 2 and Kyle Prepolec in round 3, so there is fresh evidence that his punches still change fights.

Key Storylines
  • Dober's stoppages against Johnson and Prepolec put his punches back in focus.
  • Duncan returns from defeat with dangerous neck attacks still in play.
  • Moicano beat both men, but that comparison only goes so far.
Finishing Window

Round 1 looks like the likeliest flashpoint, when both men first commit to closing distance and must protect themselves while switching between punches and grips.

Duncan's latest outing ended with Moicano's rear naked choke in round 2. Before that, he submitted Terrance McKinney with an anaconda choke in round 1, a reminder that grabbing him carries its own risks. With Dober standing southpaw at 70 inches of reach and Duncan orthodox at 71, the numbers alone do not explain who gets comfortable. Watch the lead feet, then the hands coming back after a missed punch: Dober needs punching room without leaving his neck available in the clinch.

Duncan needs to get close enough to work without giving Dober a clean shot on the way in. Dober's loss to Moicano was a unanimous decision, but that does not make their shared opponent a reliable measuring stick. Punching exchanges and grappling transitions ask different questions, and neither man's last result tells us who controls those moments here.

Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan Stats Comparison

Age
38
•
33
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
•
5'10" (178 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
•
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
•
71" (180 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Chris Duncan averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Drew Dober sits at 4.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Drew Dober
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record2-3-015-11-0 (1 NC)
Wins inside the distance2 (100%)12 (80%)
KO/TKO wins211
Submission wins01
Average fight time9:168:13
Total strikes landed per min4.425.52
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.320.61
Control time per 15 min0:311:58
Chris Duncan
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record4-1-06-2-0
Wins inside the distance3 (75%)3 (50%)
KO/TKO wins00
Submission wins33
Average fight time7:368:43
Total strikes landed per min5.635.22
Takedowns landed per 15 min1.972.80
Control time per 15 min2:523:17

UFC bouts only, as of November 7, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Drew Dober 27/27, Chris Duncan 8/8.

Drew Dober and Chris Duncan: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

OpponentDrew DoberChris Duncan
Renato MoicanoLoss Decision – Unanimous · Feb 2024Loss Submission, R2 · Apr 2026
Terrance McKinneyWin KO/TKO, R1 · Mar 2022Win Submission, R1 · Dec 2025
Manuel TorresLoss KO/TKO, R1 · Mar 2025Loss Submission, R1 · Feb 2024

Drew Dober: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinMichael JohnsonKO/TKO, R2· UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Mar 2026
  2. WinKyle PrepolecKO/TKO, R3· UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 2025
  3. LossManuel TorresKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · Mar 2025
  4. LossJean SilvaTKO – Doctor's Stoppage, R3· UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Jul 2024
  5. LossRenato MoicanoDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 2024

Chris Duncan: last 5 UFC fights

  1. LossRenato MoicanoSubmission, R2· UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Apr 2026
  2. WinTerrance McKinneySubmission, R1· UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Dec 2025
  3. WinMateusz RebeckiDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 2025
  4. WinJordan VucenicSubmission, R2· UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 2025
  5. WinBolaji OkiSubmission, R1· UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 2024

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Drew Dober and Chris Duncan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Dober vs Duncan odds

Live Polymarket odds for Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Dober vs Duncan

Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan is on the UFC 334 card on Nov 14, 2026 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

Dober vs Duncan is on the prelims, starting at Sat 7:00 PM (New York) / Sun 12:00 AM (London).

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Dober vs Duncan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

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