How AgentMMA breaks down Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke
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Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke sportsbook odds
Stephen Thompson is the betting favourite at -130 (1.77), with Charles Radtke priced at +111 (2.11). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.
Stephen Thompson
Charles Radtke
The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.
Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
Stephen Thompson has a tough question waiting at UFC 334: can he get his timing back before Charles Radtke makes the night uncomfortable? At Madison Square Garden, Thompson is trying to halt three consecutive losses while Radtke arrives with consecutive wins, so the recent results give this meeting plenty of bite. Thompson last fought in 2025, losing a split decision to Gabriel Bonfim, which makes his return about more than stopping that skid. Radtke submitted Daniel Frunza with a rear naked choke in R3, then beat Francisco Prado by unanimous decision.
- Thompson's long absence adds another question to his three fight skid.
- A choke against Frunza and a decision over Prado fuel Radtke's momentum.
- Thompson's longer reach matters only if he can protect his escape routes.
The fight is most likely to open up in R2, when repeated entries and escapes could drain energy and leave more gaps during resets.
That gives him recent success through grappling and over the full distance, although neither result guarantees an easy way inside here. The reach gap is concrete: Thompson has 75 inches to Radtke's 72, and both are orthodox. Thompson needs to land at range and change his angle before Radtke gets set; Radtke needs patient entries that let him threaten punches and grappling together. Watch where Thompson ends each exchange, because backing straight toward the fence could make that reach advantage much harder to use.
The unknown is how sharp Thompson looks after the break, especially when Radtke makes him reset again and again. There is a real difference between having room on paper and keeping it once someone starts taking that room away.
Stephen Thompson
Stephen Thompson finish map
UFC Record Breakdown
Stephen Thompson breakdown
Performance Breakdown
Stephen Thompson's recent form
Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke sportsbook odds
Stephen Thompson is the betting favourite at -130 (1.77), with Charles Radtke priced at +111 (2.11). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.
Stephen Thompson
Charles Radtke
The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.
Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
Stephen Thompson has a tough question waiting at UFC 334: can he get his timing back before Charles Radtke makes the night uncomfortable? At Madison Square Garden, Thompson is trying to halt three consecutive losses while Radtke arrives with consecutive wins, so the recent results give this meeting plenty of bite. Thompson last fought in 2025, losing a split decision to Gabriel Bonfim, which makes his return about more than stopping that skid. Radtke submitted Daniel Frunza with a rear naked choke in R3, then beat Francisco Prado by unanimous decision.
- Thompson's long absence adds another question to his three fight skid.
- A choke against Frunza and a decision over Prado fuel Radtke's momentum.
- Thompson's longer reach matters only if he can protect his escape routes.
The fight is most likely to open up in R2, when repeated entries and escapes could drain energy and leave more gaps during resets.
That gives him recent success through grappling and over the full distance, although neither result guarantees an easy way inside here. The reach gap is concrete: Thompson has 75 inches to Radtke's 72, and both are orthodox. Thompson needs to land at range and change his angle before Radtke gets set; Radtke needs patient entries that let him threaten punches and grappling together. Watch where Thompson ends each exchange, because backing straight toward the fence could make that reach advantage much harder to use.
The unknown is how sharp Thompson looks after the break, especially when Radtke makes him reset again and again. There is a real difference between having room on paper and keeping it once someone starts taking that room away.
Charles Radtke
Charles Radtke finish map
UFC Record Breakdown
Charles Radtke breakdown
Performance Breakdown
Charles Radtke's recent form
