UFC Record Breakdown
From opening bell, Felipe Bunes can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Edgar Chairez looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative.
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Felipe Bunes breakdown
Felipe Bunes's recent form
From opening bell, Felipe Bunes can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.2 significant strikes per minute while Edgar Chairez looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.
AI projects a specific finish window based on pace and grappling dynamics. Unlock the full verdict to see exactly when and how.
The AgentMMA simulator flagged this as one of the tightest matchups on the card—where pace control and craftier counter windows and better damage mitigation could flip the entire narrative. Edgar Chairez must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.
Felipe Bunes brings the more polished entries (25%) while Edgar Chairez relies on defensive frames (38%).
Championship intangibles and late-round cardio will decide who takes this. But which fighter owns the edge? Keep an eye on momentum swings between rounds two and three, where AgentMMA flags the highest volatility.
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Edgar Chairez finish map

Edgar Chairez breakdown
Edgar Chairez's recent form
Pace delta
+0.5 significant strikes/min
Edgar Chairez averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Felipe Bunes sits at 3.2.
AI confidence
79%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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Felipe Bunes vs Edgar Chairez odds: Polymarket odds are added to this page when the market opens.