UFC Fight Night
Sep 26, 2026In 49 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Elves Brener 4.0 SLpM, Josiah Harrell 2.3 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Elves Brener 47%, Josiah Harrell 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Elves Brener 5.3 abs/min, Josiah Harrell 10.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Elves Brener 23%, Josiah Harrell —
  • Takedown Defense: Elves Brener 76%, Josiah Harrell —
  • Submission Threat: Elves Brener —, Josiah Harrell —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Elves Brener
Josiah Harrell

Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Elves Brener
3-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (44%)
Decision (22%)
Losses (33%)
Josiah Harrell
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense76%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Elves Brener
Josiah Harrell

Elves Brener is in a rough spot right now. The Brazilian has dropped three straight in the UFC, including a brutal third round TKO to Joel Alvarez where knees in the clinch put him away. But here's the thing, before that skid, Brener showed he's got serious power when he slept Guram Kutateladze with a punch in round three and knocked out Kaynan Kruschewsky in the first. The guy can crack, no question about it. Josiah Harrell is making his UFC debut, and honestly, we don't have much tape on him at this level.

Key Storylines
  • Brener desperately needs a win after three straight losses
  • Harrell making UFC debut coming off a first round finish loss
  • Brazilian knockout artist hunting for his finishing touch again
Finishing Window

If Brener is going to get it done, expect him to hunt for that knockout early before Harrell can settle in and find his rhythm.

What we do know is his last outing didn't go well, getting finished by Jacobe Smith in the first round via ground and pound from side control. That's a tough way to come into the big show, especially against a guy who's been in the Octagon multiple times and knows what it takes to finish fights. This is a classic striker versus question mark situation. Brener fights orthodox out of Chute Boxe Diego Lima and has proven knockout power in both hands. When he's on, he can end your night with one clean shot.

Harrell is a southpaw from Grove City BJJ, but we're still waiting to see what his game looks like against UFC level competition. The stance matchup could create some interesting angles early. For Brener, this is a must win fight. Three losses in a row usually means you're fighting for your job. For Harrell, it's all about proving he belongs and making a statement in his debut.

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Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell Stats Comparison

Age
28
27
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Elves Brener averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Josiah Harrell sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Elves Brener and Josiah Harrell, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Brener vs Harrell odds

Live Polymarket odds for Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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