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UFC Fight Night
Sep 26, 2026In 3 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Elves Brener 4.0 SLpM, Josiah Harrell 2.3 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Elves Brener 47%, Josiah Harrell 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Elves Brener 5.3 abs/min, Josiah Harrell 10.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Elves Brener 23%, Josiah Harrell —
  • Takedown Defense: Elves Brener 76%, Josiah Harrell —
  • Submission Threat: Elves Brener —, Josiah Harrell —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Elves Brener
Josiah Harrell

Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Elves Brener
3-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (44%)
Decision (22%)
Losses (33%)
Josiah Harrell
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense76%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Elves Brener
Josiah Harrell

Fans know why this one feels tense. Elves Brener has lost three straight UFC fights, while Josiah Harrell returns after a rough UFC debut ended under punches from side control in round 1. At Meta APEX, both men are trying to close a bad chapter before it gets heavier. Brener has already shown both sides of his game. He stopped Kaynan Kruschewsky in round 1 and Guram Kutateladze in round 3, but his latest run brought full distance losses to Myktybek Orolbai and Esteban Ribovics, plus Joel Alvarez ending their fight with clinch knees in round 3.

Key Storylines
  • Brener is fighting to stop a brutal three fight UFC slide
  • Harrell returns with his first career loss still fresh
  • Long orthodox frame meets a shorter southpaw trying to crash range
Finishing Window

This fight should open up in round 2, when early caution fades and repeated entries start creating messier exchanges.

Harrell brings an 11-1-0 record, yet his only UFC fight in the available history is that loss to Jacobe Smith. That leaves a huge question about how he looks after the first setback of his career. Here is the fun part. Brener stands 70 inches with a 72 inch reach and fights orthodox, while Harrell stands 67 inches with a 68 inch reach and works southpaw. Brener needs to make that extra length count, touch Harrell on the way in, and leave clean after combinations.

Harrell needs sharp entries, pressure without rushing, and better answers if the action hits the mat. Brener has repeatedly reached round 3, so pace and patience could matter once the first burst is gone. The records say 16-6-0 against 11-1-0, but the real story is urgency. Can Brener halt the slide, or can Harrell show his UFC debut was one ugly night rather than the whole picture?

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Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell Stats Comparison

Age
28
27
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.7 significant strikes/min

Elves Brener averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Josiah Harrell sits at 2.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Elves Brener and Josiah Harrell, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Brener vs Harrell odds

Live Polymarket odds for Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Brener vs Harrell

Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 26, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Brener vs Harrell: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events

Elves Brener vs Josiah Harrell Prediction: AI Pick & UFC Odds | AgentMMA