AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Ibo "The Last Ottoman" Aslan is coming off back-to-back losses and needs this one bad. After getting caught in an arm triangle by Ion Cutelaba in February and then dropping a decision to Billy Elekana in July, the Turkish fighter from Gym 23 is fighting to keep his UFC spot alive. Meanwhile, Iwo Baraniewski is stepping into the Octagon for his UFC debut, and we don't have much tape on him yet - which makes this one of those wild card fights where anything can happen. Here's the thing about Aslan - when he's on, he's dangerous.
Remember when he knocked out Rafael Cerqueira in just 51 seconds at UFC 308? That power is real. He also finished Anton Turkalj in the third round back in March 2024, showing he can find the finish even when fights get deep. But those two recent losses have everyone wondering if he's figured out what went wrong or if he's still vulnerable.
Baraniewski is the total mystery man here. No UFC fights on his record means Aslan can't really gameplan the way he normally would. That could work both ways - either Aslan's experience takes over, or the newcomer catches him cold with something unexpected. The pressure's all on The Last Ottoman to get back in the win column and prove those losses were just a rough patch.


UFC Record Breakdown
If Aslan's going to find that knockout power again, it'll likely come early before Baraniewski settles into the Octagon nerves.

Ibo Aslan finish map

Ibo Aslan breakdown
Ibo "The Last Ottoman" Aslan is coming off back-to-back losses and needs this one bad. After getting caught in an arm triangle by Ion Cutelaba in February and then dropping a decision to Billy Elekana in July, the Turkish fighter from Gym 23 is fighting to keep his UFC spot alive. Meanwhile, Iwo Baraniewski is stepping into the Octagon for his UFC debut, and we don't have much tape on him yet - which makes this one of those wild card fights where anything can happen. Here's the thing about Aslan - when he's on, he's dangerous.
Remember when he knocked out Rafael Cerqueira in just 51 seconds at UFC 308? That power is real. He also finished Anton Turkalj in the third round back in March 2024, showing he can find the finish even when fights get deep. But those two recent losses have everyone wondering if he's figured out what went wrong or if he's still vulnerable.
Baraniewski is the total mystery man here. No UFC fights on his record means Aslan can't really gameplan the way he normally would. That could work both ways - either Aslan's experience takes over, or the newcomer catches him cold with something unexpected. The pressure's all on The Last Ottoman to get back in the win column and prove those losses were just a rough patch.
If Aslan's going to find that knockout power again, it'll likely come early before Baraniewski settles into the Octagon nerves.

Iwo Baraniewski finish map

Iwo Baraniewski breakdown
Pace delta
+5.1 significant strikes/min
Ibo Aslan averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Iwo Baraniewski sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
86%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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